Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	HPK U20		Jokerit U20

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.2	2.8
	2.06	3.77	2.62
	2.12	4.04	2.72	Watch
	2.05	4	2.6
	2.16	3.96	2.61
	2.25	4.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)	4.05 ↑ (3.96)	2.6 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HPK U20
43.3%

Draw
22.2%

Jokerit U20
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

23.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

22.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jokerit U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

HPK U20 - Jokerit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:24, 0 - 1, Mand J. (G), Rasanen V. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 4)
03:16, 0 - 2, Rasanen V. (G), Kossila T. (A), Kallio B. (A2)
12:02, 0 - 3, Keinanen A. (G), Vaananen V. (A), Kouhia L. (A2)
16:23, 0 - 4, Lindholm H. (G),
16:45, 1 - 4, Makinen I. (G), Kaikkonen T. (A), Maatta A. (A2)
17:56, 1 - 5, Kangasniemi T. (G), Inkinen J. (A), Tainio R. (A2)
19:07, 2 - 5, Saarelma N. (G), Makinen I. (A), Toivonen V. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
06:45, 3 - 5, Makinen I. (G), Huttunen R. (A), Maatta A. (A2)
07:26, 4 - 5, Eloranta O. (G), Viitaluoma V. (A),
13:41, 4 - 6, Kouhia L. (G), Keinanen A. (A), Aarvala T. (A2)
19:56, 5 - 6, Fagerstrom V. (G), Makinen I. (A), Liski T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:54. (average 3.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 2.6:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - HPK U20	5:1 ✺
28.11.25	HPK U20 - RoKi U20	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	HPK U20 - TPS U20	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW
- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.11.25	JYP U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 ✺
28.11.25	Jokerit U20 - SaiPa U20	6:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties ✺
22.11.25	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.02.25	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	6:2
12.10.24	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties
25.11.23	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	1:3
17.11.23	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	4:1
22.10.22	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3
16.03.22	HPK U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties
16.02.22	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	1:3

Upcoming Matches