The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK U20 60.4%
Draw 18.9%
Kärpät U20 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
19%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
20.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-1%)
HPK U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:48, 0 - 1, Jurvelin L. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:02, 0 - 2, Rautio K. (G), Jurvelin L. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
10:14, 1 - 2, Makinen I. (G), Sipila E. (A), Seikkula E. (A2)
18:58, 1 - 3, Gussander E. (G), Kylmala O. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 4.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Kärpät U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, HPK U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK U20 has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:73 (averaging 2.6:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 19:33 goals (averaging 2.1:3.7 per game).