The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara U20 38.2%
Draw 22.1%
HPK U20 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
21.6%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
23.5%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Tappara U20 - HPK U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
11:16, 0 - 1, Niemela N. (G), Laamanen E. (A), Viitaluoma V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:10, 0 - 2, Kostjukovs K. (G), Liski T. (A),
02:47, 0 - 3, Niemela N. (G), Huttunen R. (A), Liski T. (A2)
08:41, 0 - 4, Kostjukovs K. (G), Laine P. (A), Viitaluoma V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:31, 0 - 5, Viitaluoma V. (G), Kuusisto O. (A), Klima F. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 3.
Tappara U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by HPK U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tappara U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tappara U20 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, HPK U20 has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara U20 has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:67 (averaging 3.7:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 42:32 goals (averaging 4.2:3.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Hameenlinna U20
10
7
0
2
1
46:22
23
8
Tappara U20
11
6
0
2
3
34:32
20
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara U20 - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
HPK U20 - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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