The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HV71 30.4%
Draw 23.3%
Luleå 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
24.6%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
25.5%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HV71 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HV71 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
The ML Model estimate for Luleå aligns with the current prediction.
HV71 - Luleå Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Sandstrom F. (G)
31. Ward M. (G)
61. Rindell A.
29. Gustafsson E. (C)
82. Hatakka S.
32. Engsund O.
27. Ang J.
24. Shinnimin B.
70. Rousek L.
91. O'Neill B. (A)
46. Luoto J.
6. Hedqvist I.
Line 2
38. Alsing O. (C)
27. Laaksonen O.
78. Gustafsson M.
82. Leskinen O.
21. Tedenby M.
51. Nurmi M.
28. Kloos J. (A)
96. Andreasson P.
91. Heponiemi A.
76. Levtchi A.
Line 3
19. Hansson N. (A)
39. Sjalin P.
44. Fransson H.
23. Sellgren J. (A)
40. Stal-Lyrenas O.
67. Omark L.
24. Eriksson H.
13. Koivistoinen E.
96. Pasic N.
86. Brome M.
Line 4
8. Lagerberg L.
25. Eriksson F.
9. Pettersson H.
9. Liedes H.
23. Laz V.
72. Tardif B.
12. Magnertoft W.
Substitutes
88. Karlsson H.
34. Lassinantti J. (G)
30. Lehtinen L. (G)
Coaches
. Blomqvist A.
. Berglund T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
07:51, Eriksson H. (2 min),
08:52, 1 - 0, Ang J. (G), Rousek L. (A), Rindell A. (A2)
10:07, Gustafsson E. (2 min),
11:25, (2 min),
12:39, 1 - 1, Nurmi M. (G), Levtchi A. (A), Laaksonen O. (A2)
14:49, Hansson N. (2 min),
19:59, Hedqvist I. (2 min),
19:59, Ang J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:24, Levtchi A. (2 min),
15:27, Liedes H. (2 min),
18:27, 2 - 1, Ang J. (G), Rousek L. (A), Pettersson H. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
06:43, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
13:54, Ang J. (2 min),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone SHL (Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HV71 won 1.
In recent matches, HV71 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Luleå is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
HV71 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Luleå could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HV71 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 47:68. (average 2.4:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, HV71 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 2.3:2.8).
Outrights of SHL for now
Lulea: 9.83% HV 71: 2.04%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Lulea
8
3
0
1
4
20:26
10
12
HV 71
8
1
2
1
4
24:29
8
Last Results with these Odds
HV71 - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.54%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.