Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)

Referee: Rohatsch M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN+
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	NHL Network


	Luleå		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	4.5	Watch
	1.55	5.02	4.81
	1.52	4.69	5.03	Watch
	1.5	4.6	4.4
	1.55	4.7	4.9	Watch
	1.45	5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.8)	4.79 ↑ (4.75)	4.73 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
61.2%

Draw
19.3%

EV Zug
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

19.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

21.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luleå's performance.

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EV Zug might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luleå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EV Zug could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luleå - EV Zug Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luleå will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luleå will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Lassinantti J. (G)	30. Genoni L. (G)
3. Allard F.	66. Sklenicka D.
29. Gustafsson E. (C)	37. Riva E.
24. Shinnimin B.	81. Kubalik D.
91. O'Neill B. (A)	90. Tatar T. (A)
6. Hedqvist I.	15. Hofmann G. (A)
Line 2
11. Laaksonen O.	42. Geisser T.
82. Leskinen O.	88. Senteler S.
51. Nurmi M.	96. Vozenilek D.
96. Andreasson P.	43. Kovar J. (C)
76. Levtchi A.	40. Wingerli A.
Line 3
39. Sjalin P.	18. Schlumpf D.
23. Sellgren J. (A)	14. Stadler L.
67. Omark L.	73. Kunzle M.
13. Koivistoinen E.	77. Wey L.
86. Brome M.	68. Herzog F.
Line 4
32. Engsund O.	6. Geisser M.
25. Eriksson F.	95. Lindemann C. S.
9. Liedes H.	61. Leuenberger S.
27. Tardif B.	22. Eggenberger N.
Substitutes
20. Juustovaara Karlsson C.	86. Antenen R. N.
31. Ward M. (G)	1. Wolf T. (G)
Coaches
. Berglund T.	. Liniger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:34, Tatar T. (2 min),
06:41, 1 - 0, Hedqvist I. (G), Shinnimin B. (A), O'Neill B. (A2)
12:10, Tatar T. (2 min),
14:50, 2 - 0, Andreasson P. (G), Lassinantti J. (A), Levtchi A. (A2)
19:43, O'Neill B. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:35, 3 - 0, Shinnimin B. (G), Engsund O. (A), Hedqvist I. (A2)
06:12, 3 - 1, Hofmann G. (G), Tatar T. (A),
12:32, 3 - 2, Tatar T. (G), Kubalik D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
13:57, Engsund O. (2 min),
19:41, Gustafsson E. (2 min),

Preview

First leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.

Luleå has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

EV Zug is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Luleå may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, EV Zug has had a series of home games.

In this match, Luleå is a strong favorite.

We predict that Luleå will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 3.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Luleå won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Luleå - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.51%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
17.01.26	Luleå - Leksand	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Luleå - Örebro	3:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.01.26	EV Zug - Luleå	2:3 ✺
SHL
10.01.26	Rögle - Luleå	1:2 OT ✺
08.01.26	Frölunda - Luleå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW
- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
17.01.26	Genève-Servette - EV Zug	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	EV Zug - Ajoie	2:4 ✺
14.01.26	EV Zug - Lugano	2:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.01.26	EV Zug - Luleå	2:3 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
10.01.26	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
13.01.26	EV Zug - Luleå	2:3
28.08.25	Luleå - EV Zug	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	EV Zug - Luleå	3:6

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