Match Info

AHL

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Lee's Family Forum (Henderson, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Henderson Silver Knights		Texas Stars

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	2.5	Watch
	2.14	4.15	2.7
	2.07	4.4	2.8
	2.04	4.44	2.82	Watch
	2	4.33	2.7
	2.05	4.25	2.74	Watch
	2.36	3.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)	4.2 ↑ (3.66)	2.64 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henderson Silver Knights
43.5%

Draw
21.8%

Texas Stars
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

23.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henderson Silver Knights's performance.

Texas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henderson Silver Knights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Texas Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lindbom C. (G)	30. Tiefensee A. (G)
12. Brabenec J.	35. Anderson J.
8. Cataford M.	27. Becker J.
47. Cholach A.	21. Chisholm S.
52. Coghlan D.	10. Ertel J.
24. Connelly T.	32. Hanas C.
84. Davies J.	19. Hughes C. (A)
50. Fleming J.	26. Karow M.
59. Hallum J.	18. Kolyachonok V.
63. Hemmerling B.	4. Krys L.
41. Hickey B.	17. Lind K. (A)
74. Kmec J. V.	16. McKenzie C. (C)
28. Laczynski T.	36. Pearson K.
36. Lavoie R.	8. Poirier J.
75. McLain M. (A)	11. Scott H.
88. Megna J. (C)	13. Seminoff M.
25. Sapovaliv M.	38. Shlaine A.
77. Uchacz K. (A)	40. Stranges A.
37. Uronen T.	2. Taylor T.
Substitutes
39. Whitehead C. (G)	1. Poirier R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:21, 1 - 0, Lavoie R. (G), Hemmerling B. (A), Kmec J. V. (A2)
11:21, 2 - 0, McLain M. (G), Kmec J. V. (A), Coghlan D. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:01, 3 - 0, Uronen T. (G), Connelly T. (A), Davies J. (A2)
11:08, 4 - 0, Uchacz K. (G), Cataford M. (A),
14:35, 5 - 0, McLain M. (G), Brabenec J. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
03:12, 6 - 0, Lavoie R. (G), Hemmerling B. (A), Laczynski T. (A2)
05:25, 6 - 1, Seminoff M. (G), Hughes C. (A), Shlaine A. (A2)
06:29, 6 - 2, Karow M. (G), Becker J. (A), Hanas C. (A2)
09:50, 7 - 2, Brabenec J. (G), Connelly T. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Henderson has had a series of away games.

Recently, Texas has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 72:61. (average 3.6:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Henderson won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 3.6:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Henderson Silver Knights - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 37.12%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Texas Stars - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
21.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars	3:6 ✺
19.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	3:8 ✺
17.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:6 ✺
15.03.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Henderson Silver Knights	5:7 ✺
14.03.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Henderson Silver Knights	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- Texas Stars
AHL
21.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars	3:6 ✺
18.03.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	5:4 ✺
17.03.26	Texas Stars - Chicago Wolves	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors	6:2 ✺
13.03.26	Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
21.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars	3:6
31.01.26	Texas Stars - Henderson Silver Knights	3:1
30.01.26	Texas Stars - Henderson Silver Knights	6:5 OT
08.12.24	Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars	2:4
07.12.24	Henderson Silver Knights - Texas Stars	6:2
12.10.24	Texas Stars - Henderson Silver Knights	4:5
11.10.24	Texas Stars - Henderson Silver Knights	4:3

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