Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Hermes Kokkola		Koovee

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	6.5
	1.3	6.1	6.9	Watch
	1.28	5.5	6.9
	1.37	6.62	5.76
	1.35	6.5	5.5
	1.32	6	6.53
	1.32	5.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	6.01 ↑ (5.17)	6.38 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermes Kokkola
70%

Draw
15.4%

Koovee
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

18%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

18.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hermes Kokkola's performance.

Koovee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koovee than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hermes Kokkola - Koovee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hermes won 4.

Hermes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Koovee is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Koovee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hermes is indisputable favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Hermes won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 95-60.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermes won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 49-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
23.01.24	RoKi - Hermes Kokkola	4:1 ✺
19.01.24	Hermes Kokkola - TuTo	5:2 ✺
17.01.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Hermes Kokkola	5:2 ✺
16.01.24	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	5:4 OT ✺
13.01.24	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Koovee Hockey
Finnish Mestis
24.01.24	Koovee - Jokerit	2:6 ✺
19.01.24	Koovee - RoKi	4:5 ✺
16.01.24	TuTo - Koovee	2:1 ✺
11.01.24	Koovee - Kiekko-Espoo	5:4 OT ✺
05.01.24	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Koovee	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
24.11.23	Hermes Kokkola - Koovee	5:2
04.10.23	Koovee - Hermes Kokkola	3:5
18.03.23	Koovee - Hermes Kokkola	1:2
03.03.23	Hermes Kokkola - Koovee	6:7 OT
28.01.23	Koovee - Hermes Kokkola	4:9
10.01.23	Hermes Kokkola - Koovee	4:2
26.02.22	Koovee - Hermes Kokkola	2:1 penalties

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