Match Info
MestisDate: 6 February 2026, FridayLocation: Kokkolan jäähalli (Kokkola)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Hermes Kokkola |
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Kiekko-Vantaa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.85 |
4.25 |
2.04 |
 Watch |
 |
2.79 |
3.74 |
1.97 |
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 |
2.97 |
4.12 |
2.04 |
Watch |
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2.7 |
3.9 |
2.05 |
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2.88 |
4.15 |
2 |
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2.65 |
4.25 |
2.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.49) |
4.07
(4.07) |
2.03 ↓
(2.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hermes Kokkola
32.5% | Draw
22.4% | Kiekko-Vantaa
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Kiekko-Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiekko-Vantaa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (-4%)Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hermes Kokkola will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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31.  Makela A. (G)
| 23. Auvinen S. (G)
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56. Nissinen T.
| 27. Rikkila H.
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34. Lauri O.
| 38. Hellman V.
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84. Savolainen V.
| 28. Tolppola V.
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50. Rautiainen J.
| 45. Maansaari O.
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11. Merilainen N.
| 24. Fagerstrom J.
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| Line 2 |
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25. Gronblom T.
| 5. Ulander E. (C)
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16. Cederberg E.
| 12. Arkko V.
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10. Takala E. (A)
| 94. Nordgren N. (A)
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51. Vahatalo J. (A)
| 22. Turunen R. (A)
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20. Virolainen J.
| 8. Saarelainen M.
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| Line 3 |
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33. Monkkonen M.
| 3. Pakaslahti A.
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45. Vainio J. (C)
| 43. Niemelainen A.
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61. Hahl V.
| 13. Tenhovuori N.
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18. Niinisto J.
| 25. Pitkanen K.
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17. Puikkonen T.
| 11. Gustafsson R.
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| Line 4 |
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98. Makitalo E.
| 18. Kettunen E.
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28. Honkasalo J.
| 62. Iso-Kuortti P.
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15. Ohtonen J.
| 44. Laakso A.
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53. Ulvila A.
| 81. Menna M.
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| Substitutes |
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35. Tapaninaho A. (G)
| 35. Varis K. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:53, 1 - 0, Rautiainen J. (G), Cederberg E. (A), Gronblom T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 02:42, 2 - 0, Puikkonen T. (G), Monkkonen M. (A), Niinisto J. (A2)
- 07:43, 2 - 1, Pitkanen K. (G), Turunen R. (A), Nordgren N. (A2)
- 19:59, 3 - 1, Gronblom T. (G), Rautiainen J. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:13, 4 - 1, Rautiainen J. (G), Virolainen J. (A), Vahatalo J. (A2)
- 19:03, 5 - 1, Virolainen J. (G), Vahatalo J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 1.In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.Hermes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Hermes has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:68. (average 2.9:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, Hermes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 2.9:3.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
Hermes Kokkola - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Kiekko-Vantaa - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 09.01.26 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Hermes Kokkola | 3:1 | | 28.11.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Vantaa | 5:8 | | 22.11.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Hermes Kokkola | 4:5 penalties | | 30.10.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Hermes Kokkola | 5:2 | | 05.02.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Vantaa | 3:6 | | 23.01.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Hermes Kokkola | 5:0 | | 11.01.25 | Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Vantaa | 5:2 |
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