The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Marlies 39%
Draw 22.2%
Hershey Bears 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
21.9%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
22.8%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Hlavaj S. (G)
40. Petersen C. (G)
68. Barbolini M.
2. Allen C.
25. Borgesi V.
43. Bitten S.
90. Brisson B.
22. Brodzinski J.
58. Chadwick N.
5. Chesley R.
38. Danford B.
20. Cristall A.
65. Johnson R.
19. Cruikshank G.
57. Johnstone M. (A)
21. Dunne J.
51. Myers P.
48. Gucciardi D.
61. Pezzetta M.
4. Holl J.
26. Raty A.
15. Lakovic L.
54. Rybinski H.
26. MacDonald J.
11. Shaw L. (C)
34. Muggli L.
42. Sim L.
12. Niederbach T.
59. Smith B.
36. Sikora P.
67. Stevens S.
11. Smallman S.
77. Tverberg R.
37. Smith D.
39. Valis B.
45. Strome M.
52. Webber C.
44. Trineyev B.
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
35. Gibson M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:45, 1 - 0, Valis B. (G), Barbolini M. (A), Borgesi V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:11, 1 - 1, Trineyev B. (G), Dunne J. (A), Cristall A. (A2)
18:18, 1 - 2, Dunne J. (G), Brodzinski J. (A), Smallman S. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
01:22, 2 - 2, Valis B. (G), Brisson B. (A), Borgesi V. (A2)
02:36, 3 - 2, Tverberg R. (G), Brisson B. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
12:06, 3 - 3, Smallman S. (G), MacDonald J. (A), Niederbach T. (A2)
13:24, 4 - 3, Shaw L. (G), Borgesi V. (A), Tverberg R. (A2)
18:24, 5 - 3, Myers P. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hershey shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Hershey may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:53 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 26:28 goals (averaging 2.4:2.5 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Toronto Marlies: 5.48% Hershey Bears: 3.39%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.9%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Hlavaj S. (G) 
Petersen C. (G) 
Allen C. 
Raty A. 
Muggli L. 
Niederbach T. 
Sikora P. 
Trineyev B. 
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