Match Info

AHL

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Toronto Marlies		Hershey Bears

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.45	Watch
	2.32	4.05	2.5
	2.44	4.09	2.38
	2.27	4.26	2.53	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.45
	2.28	4.25	2.53	Watch
	2.4	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)	4.04 ↓ (4.14)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Marlies
39.8%

Draw
22.8%

Hershey Bears
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

22.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

24.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Hildeby D. (G)	31. Stevenson C. (G)
58. Chadwick N.	7. Belpedio L. (A)
29. Groulx B.	5. Chesley R.
43. Haymes L.	92. Clarke G.
65. Johnson R.	20. Cristall A.
57. Johnstone M. (A)	19. Cruikshank G.
66. King Ben	48. Gucciardi D.
36. Mermis D. (A)	25. Hofer R.
92. Nylander A.	23. Leason B.
56. Pare C.	10. Miroshnichenko I.
61. Pezzetta M.	34. Muggli L.
26. Quillan J.	40. Protas I.
83. Rifai M.	12. Rybinski H.
97. Sharpe C.	6. Schueneman C. (A)
11. Shaw L. (C)	37. Smith D.
59. Smith B.	45. Strome M. (A)
77. Tverberg R.	41. Suzdalev A.
39. Valis B.	44. Trineyev B.
52. Webber C.	4. Webb R.
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)	30. Taylor T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
08:15, 1 - 0, Haymes L. (G), Pare C. (A), Webber C. (A2)
15:37, 2 - 0, Pare C. (G), Nylander A. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
18:52, 2 - 1, Miroshnichenko I. (G), Protas I. (A), Belpedio L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
10:42, 2 - 2, Protas I. (G),
12:30, 2 - 3, Miroshnichenko I. (G), Schueneman C. (A), Leason B. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.

Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hershey is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hershey has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:58. (average 3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 2.4:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Hershey Bears - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.38%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Marlies
AHL
16.02.26	Toronto Marlies - Laval Rocket	4:3 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Laval Rocket - Toronto Marlies	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds	5:1 ✺
03.02.26	Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies	3:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Toronto Marlies - Laval Rocket	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLL
- Hershey Bears
AHL
16.02.26	Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears	3:6 ✺
13.02.26	Laval Rocket - Hershey Bears	6:1 ✺
07.02.26	Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 OT ✺
04.02.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.11.25	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	2:5
21.12.24	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	3:7
20.11.24	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	4:3 OT
17.02.24	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	2:3 OT
28.01.24	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	4:3 OT
29.03.23	Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears	1:3
03.03.23	Hershey Bears - Toronto Marlies	4:3

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