Match Info

AHL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Giant Center (Hershey, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Hershey Bears		Rockford IceHogs

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.2	3	Watch
	1.99	4.05	3
	2.06	4.13	2.92	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3
	2.06	4.13	2.92	Watch
	2	3.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	4.04 ↓ (4.25)	2.95 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hershey Bears
46.2%

Draw
22.7%

Rockford IceHogs
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

21.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

21.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rockford IceHogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockford IceHogs than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Hershey Bears - Rockford IceHogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stevenson C. (G)	39. Brossoit L. (G)
2. Allen C.	42. Allan N. (A)
7. Belpedio L. (A)	22. Anderson J.
43. Bitten S.	36. Boucher D.
5. Chesley R.	63. Cates J.
92. Clarke G.	45. Engelbert J.
20. Cristall A.	92. Hayes G.
19. Cruikshank G.	14. Korchinski K.
48. Gucciardi D.	93. Kuzmin D.
23. Leason B.	49. Lombardi K.
13. Mateiko E.	58. Mast R.
47. McDonald J.	68. Misiak M.
10. Miroshnichenko I.	26. Mylymok C.
27. Ness A. (C)	75. Perrott A.
40. Protas I.	12. Pitlick R.
12. Rybinski H.	6. Rinzel S.
11. Smallman S. (A)	67. Savoie S.
45. Strome M.	62. Seney B. (C)
44. Trineyev B.	25. Toninato D. (A)
Substitutes
35. Gibson M. (G)	31. Berezhnoy S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:55, 1 - 0, Belpedio L. (G), Smallman S. (A), Clarke G. (A2)
19:38, 1 - 1, Hayes G. (G), Toninato D. (A), Perrott A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:30, 1 - 2, Hayes G. (G), Toninato D. (A), Anderson J. (A2)
12:17, 2 - 2, Clarke G. (G), Allen C. (A), Smallman S. (A2)
13:11, 3 - 2, Clarke G. (G), Belpedio L. (A), Smallman S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:23, 4 - 2, Chesley R. (G), Miroshnichenko I. (A), Protas I. (A2)
16:35, 5 - 2, Clarke G. (G), Allen C. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Hershey has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rockford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hershey will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 2:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hershey Bears - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.42%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Rockford IceHogs - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.82%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hershey Bears
AHL
03.01.26	Hershey Bears - Rockford IceHogs	5:4 ✺
31.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	3:0 ✺
28.12.25	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL
- Rockford IceHogs
AHL
03.01.26	Hershey Bears - Rockford IceHogs	5:4 ✺
31.12.25	Rockford IceHogs - Chicago Wolves	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Milwaukee Admirals - Rockford IceHogs	3:0 ✺
27.12.25	Rockford IceHogs - Texas Stars	8:4 ✺
21.12.25	Manitoba Moose - Rockford IceHogs	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
03.01.26	Hershey Bears - Rockford IceHogs	5:4
23.02.19	Hershey Bears - Rockford IceHogs	3:2 penalties
14.10.18	Rockford IceHogs - Hershey Bears	5:2
24.02.18	Hershey Bears - Rockford IceHogs	3:4 OT
22.10.17	Rockford IceHogs - Hershey Bears	5:0

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