Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • AHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza (Wilkes-Barre Township, PA)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • usaUsaFlohockey
    Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins Hershey Bears
    Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins Hershey Bears
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.89)
    4.21
    (4.31)
    3.13
    (3.15)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

    • The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
    48.7%
    Draw
    21.9%
    Hershey Bears
    29.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    49.1% 21.5% 29.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    46.7% 22.6% 30.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Hershey Bears have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
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    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. RussiaMurashov S. (G)
    31. CanadaStevenson C. (G)
    25. SwedenAho S. (A)
      7. USABelpedio L. (A)
    56. RussiaAlexeyev A.
    43. CanadaBitten S.
    26. USABroz T.
    24. USABongiovanni W.
    45. CanadaBrunicke H.
    20. CanadaCristall A.
    84. CanadaCalvert A.
    19. USACruikshank G.
    50. CanadaHarding F.
    48. CanadaGucciardi D.
    49. CanadaHarvey-Pinard R.
    23. CanadaLeason B.
    85. USAHayes A.
    47. USAMcDonald J.
    22. CanadaHowe T.
    10. RussiaMiroshnichenko I.
    70. RussiaIlyin M.
    27. USANess A. (C)
    14. CanadaImama B. (A)
    40. BelarusProtas I.
    52. USAKemp P. (C)
    12. CanadaRybinski H.
    64. CanadaKlassen G.
      6. USASchueneman C.
    41. FinlandKoivunen V.
    37. CanadaSmith D.
    15. FinlandKoppanen J.
    45. CanadaStrome M. (A)
      8. USAMcDonough A.
    41. SwedenSuzdalev A.
      2. USAMcGroarty R.
    44. RussiaTrineyev B.
    38. CanadaPickering O.
      4. CanadaWebb R.
    Substitutes
    30. FinlandBlomqvist J. (G)
    35. USAGibson M. (G)

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Period (0 - 1)
    • 16:25, 0 - 1, Leason B. (G), Protas I. (A), Belpedio L. (A2)
    • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
    • 17:11, 0 - 2, Trineyev B. (G), Cristall A. (A), Protas I. (A2)
    • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
    • 01:12, 1 - 2, McDonough A. (G), Harvey-Pinard R. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)

    Preview

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton leads series 1-0. Second leg.
  • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 3.
  • Wilkes-Barre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Hershey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Wilkes-Barre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Wilkes-Barre has had a series of home games.
  • Wilkes-Barre might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 73:60. (average 3.7:3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Wilkes-Barre won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:30. (average 3.6:2.5).
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    Last Results with these Odds

    Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.06%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
    AHL
    30.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 4:2
    18.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans 8:0
    17.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders 4:1
    15.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 1:5
    11.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Cleveland Monsters 4:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1
    WWWLW
    - Hershey Bears
    AHL
    30.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 4:2
    23.04.26 Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders 5:2
    21.04.26 Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears 0:2
    19.04.26 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 5:4 OT
    18.04.26 Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders 1:2
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8
    LWWWL
    Latest Head to Head
    AHL
    30.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 4:2
    15.04.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 1:5
    13.03.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 2:4
    07.02.26 Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 3:4 OT
    04.02.26 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 4:1
    23.01.26 Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 3:4 penalties
    27.12.25 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears 5:2