Match Info

Mestis

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kankaan jäähalli (Iisalmi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3


	IPK		Imatran Ketterä

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.10	3.10
	1.77	4.40	3.40
	1.61	4.38	3.93
	1.58	4.87	4.35	Watch
	1.59	4.30	3.85
	1.59	4.60	4.11	Watch
	1.66	4.40	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	4.44 ↑ (4.25)	3.79 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPK
55.2%

Draw
20.7%

Imatran Ketterä
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

21.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

22.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IPK's performance.

Imatran Ketterä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IPK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imatran Ketterä could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IPK - Imatran Ketterä Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kerkola P. (G)	35. Roos R. (G)
96. Gronblom T.	77. Kakranen J.
12. Mikkonen O. (A)	26. Salmela S. (C)
77. Virtanen J. (C)	71. Hakala A.
27. Lausniemi A. (A)	38. Himmanen N. (A)
23. Paqvalin J.	55. Piironen V.
Line 2
81. Paqvalin A.	49. Viirret V.
6. Leppanen T.	6. Rannisto J. (A)
28. Tolppola V.	19. Tiihonen L.
21. Jaatinen O.	89. Lehtinen J.
72. Ahvenlampi M.	91. Heinonen S.
Line 3
56. Nissinen T.	11. Pietila N.
2. Junkkari J.	22. Heinanen A.
9. Mykra O.	72. Harma M.
33. Koskela S.	27. Paasovaara E.
67. Curri R.	98. Lempiainen J.
Line 4
4. Kotajarvi J.	37. Hallikas J.
59. Kahkonen J.	51. Liukkonen M.
26. Hattunen M.	29. Rantalainen J.
7. Suhonen P.	21. Ruotsi J.
Substitutes
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)	30. Tanninen V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:18, 0 - 1, Rannisto J. (G), Heinonen S. (A), Lehtinen J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:52, 1 - 1, Jaatinen O. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Paqvalin A. (A2)
04:43, 2 - 1, Koskela S. (G),
17:27, 3 - 1, Virtanen J. (G), Suhonen P. (A), Lausniemi A. (A2)
20', 3 - 2, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 1.

IPK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ketterä has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

IPK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that IPK will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IPK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 62:65. (average 3.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 2.7:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	8	6	1	1	0	30:12	21
9	Kettera	9	1	1	2	5	18:28	7

Last Results with these Odds

IPK - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.11%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
11.09.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.26	IPK - RoKi	6:7 ✺
28.08.26	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	5:1 ✺
21.08.26	KeuPa - IPK	2:5
13.08.26	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Imatran Ketterä
Finnish Mestis
11.09.26	Imatran Ketterä - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Imatran Ketterä	4:1 ✺
26.08.26	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
21.08.26	TuTo - Imatran Ketterä	4:1
07.08.26	Imatran Ketterä - TuTo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
23.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	4:3
21.03.26	IPK - Imatran Ketterä	6:2
20.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	4:3 OT
18.03.26	IPK - Imatran Ketterä	2:6
16.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	7:2
14.03.26	IPK - Imatran Ketterä	4:1
06.02.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	5:6

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