Match Info

Mestis

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: PKS Areena (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2


	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat		IPK

	1	X	2
	1.98	4.10	2.80
	2.02	4.1	2.9
	2.01	3.92	2.84
	1.98	4.3	3.01	Watch
	1.97	3.8	2.75
	1.96	4.15	2.97	Watch
	1.92	4.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.48)	4.07 ↓ (4.08)	2.88 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
46%

Draw
22.4%

IPK
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

22.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's performance.

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IPK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Joensuun Kiekko Pojat - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
23. Kohonen P. (G)	30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
77. Tiihonen L.	96. Gronblom T.
6. Korkka O.	12. Mikkonen O.
5. Sihvonen R.	77. Virtanen J.
97. Janhonen J.	27. Lausniemi A.
17. Karjalainen H.	22. Paqvalin J.
Line 2
3. Liiri N.	81. Paqvalin A.
55. Koskela V.	6. Leppanen T.
11. Taskula J.	28. Tolppola V.
20. Kokkola T.	21. Jaatinen O.
29. Lohisalo J.	72. Ahvenlampi M.
Line 3
24. Juvonen J.	56. Nissinen T.
26. Lehikoinen A.	2. Junkkari J.
82. Hult O.	9. Mykra O.
51. Koskenkorva J.	33. Koskela S.
39. Niemi E.	67. Curri R.
Line 4
56. Haikonen A.	4. Kotajarvi J.
80. Vallius S.	59. Kahkonen J.
28. Suvanto N.	26. Hattunen M.
19. Brygger J.	34. Timofejev D.
Substitutes
32. Rossi J. (G)	31. Kerkola P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:25, 1 - 0, Liiri N. (G), Karjalainen H. (A), Sihvonen R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:12, 1 - 1, Leppanen T. (G), Paqvalin A. (A), Jaatinen O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
00:31, 1 - 2, Paqvalin J. (G), Mikkonen O. (A), Lausniemi A. (A2)
02:25, 1 - 3, Lausniemi A. (G), Gronblom T. (A), Paqvalin J. (A2)
09:53, 1 - 4, Paqvalin A. (G), Hattunen M. (A),
18:55, 1 - 5, Curri R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 1.

JoKP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JoKP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

JoKP could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 52:82. (average 2.6:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, JoKP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 3.1:3.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	8	6	1	1	0	30:12	21
7	Kiekko-Pojat	9	2	1	1	5	24:34	9

Last Results with these Odds

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

IPK - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.22%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	1:4
03.09.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Imatran Ketterä	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:3 penalties ✺
26.08.26	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
21.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.26	IPK - RoKi	6:7 ✺
28.08.26	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	5:1 ✺
21.08.26	KeuPa - IPK	2:5
13.08.26	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	3:4 ✺
Finnish Mestis
28.03.26	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
21.02.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK	1:4
19.02.26	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
28.12.25	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:3 penalties
27.12.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK	4:2
21.11.25	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2
17.10.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK	4:8
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.25	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	5:2

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