The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KeuPa 19.2%
Draw 19.3%
IPK 61.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.7%
19.8%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
21.6%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KeuPa's form might have worsened.
IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IPK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KeuPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KeuPa - IPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Varis K. (G)
31. Kerkola P. (G)
7. Vaharautio K. (A)
96. Gronblom T.
25. Paganus T.
4. Kotajarvi J.
61. Aaltonen S.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
83. Ketonen N.
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
74. Matikainen K. (A)
7. Suhonen P. (A)
Line 2
45. Heikkila E.
81. Paqvalin A.
42. Wolin A. (C)
6. Leppanen T.
9. Hokkanen R.
28. Tolppola V.
72. Mutka J.
21. Jaatinen O.
93. Jarvenpaa M.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
Line 3
3. Kurbaka V.
59. Kahkonen J.
2. Kesajarvi A.
2. Junkkari J.
16. Winqvist K.
13. Halonen V.
78. Keihas R.
26. Hattunen M.
8. Krook A.
23. Paqvalin J.
Line 4
24. Manni E.
18. Tohila R.
27. Tarvainen K.
9. Mykra O.
56. Rantanen N.
33. Koskela S.
67. Curri R.
Substitutes
41. Pasanen J. (G)
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
01:40, 0 - 1, Halonen V. (G), Hattunen M. (A),
04:05, 0 - 2, Jaatinen O. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Gronblom T. (A2)
14:00, 0 - 3, Virtanen J. (G), Suhonen P. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
02:17, 0 - 4, Lausniemi A. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Gronblom T. (A2)
08:29, 0 - 5, Leppanen T. (G), Paqvalin A. (A), Halonen V. (A2)
17:13, 0 - 6, Junkkari J. (G), Koskela S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:00, 1 - 6, Winqvist K. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 1.
KeuPa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
IPK shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
IPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, IPK has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
IPK is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for IPK in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KeuPa has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:72 (averaging 2.3:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KeuPa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 19:41 goals (averaging 1.9:4.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
13
9
1
2
1
44:27
31
8
KeuPa
15
4
2
2
7
42:52
18
Last Results with these Odds
KeuPa - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
IPK - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.52%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Varis K. (G) 
Kurbaka V. 
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