Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Ilves U20		Mikkelin Jukurit U20

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	4
	1.28	6.16	6.25
	1.27	6.41	6.95	Watch
	1.29	5	7
	1.22	6.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.47)	5.79 ↑ (4.83)	6.48 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves U20
70.1%

Draw
15.8%

Mikkelin Jukurit U20
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

19.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves U20's performance.

Mikkelin Jukurit U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit U20 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikkelin Jukurit U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilves U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:41, 1 - 0, Heikkinen I. (G), Laitinen J. (A),
18:53, 1 - 1, Hamalainen O. (G), Ahtinen E. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:31, 2 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Frolo J. (A), Karjalainen P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:26, 3 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Kuukasjarvi R. (A), Niskanen A. (A2)

Preview

Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Jukurit U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Jukurit U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ilves U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 55:70. (average 2.8:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 3.3:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15
12	Jukurit U20	11	3	1	2	5	25:39	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.03.26	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ilves U20	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Ilves U20	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.03.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Tappara U20	6:2 ✺
01.03.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Kärpät U20	2:7 ✺
27.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - RoKi U20	4:3 penalties ✺
20.02.26	HPK U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - KalPa U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	3:2 penalties
24.01.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	5:3
23.11.24	Ilves U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:2
05.01.24	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	8:0
27.10.23	Ilves U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	4:1
17.12.22	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	4:1
29.10.22	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	1:0

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