Match Info
SM-sarja U20 - Play Offs - FinalDate: 9 April 2026, Thursday
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Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
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Ilves U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.85 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
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 |
1.95 |
4.25 |
2.79 |
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2.03 |
4.63 |
2.64 |
 Watch |
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1.91 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
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1.97 |
4.15 |
2.94 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.49) |
4.35 ↑
(4) |
2.81 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Espoo U20
46.8% | Draw
20.9% | Ilves U20
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiekko-Espoo U20's performance.Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo U20 than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiekko-Espoo U20 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilves U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 08:01, 0 - 1, Karjalainen P. (G), Frolo J. (A), Laurell E. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:49, 0 - 2, Laurell E. (G), Frolo J. (A), Tukio O. (A2)
- 09:53, 1 - 2, Santala L. (G), Puolanne E. (A), Suoniemi T. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 16:27, 2 - 2, Katavisto A. (G), Suoniemi T. (A),
- 18:59, 3 - 2, Heinanen A. (G), Torkki O. (A),
Preview
Kiekko-Espoo leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 3.Kiekko-Espoo U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Ilves U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Kiekko-Espoo U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 62:39. (average 3.6:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:17. (average 3.4:2.1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Ilves U20 - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-sarja U20 | | | 07.04.26 | Ilves U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20 | 0:3 | | 06.04.26 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ilves U20 | 4:1 | | 04.04.26 | Ilves U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20 | 4:3 OT | | 21.02.26 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ilves U20 | 3:1 | | 17.10.25 | Ilves U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20 | 4:1 | | 01.03.25 | Ilves U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20 | 1:4 | | 04.01.25 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ilves U20 | 5:2 |
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