Match Info

Mestis

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Imatran jäähalli (Imatra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Imatran Ketterä		Hermes Kokkola

	1	X	2
	1.47	5.1	5	Watch
	1.53	4.97	4.66	Watch
	1.4	4.6	5
	1.46	4.9	5
	1.45	5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.91 ↑ (4.72)	4.83 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imatran Ketterä
62.5%

Draw
18.6%

Hermes Kokkola
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

19.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

20.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imatran Ketterä has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imatran Ketterä that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ketterä won 4.

Ketterä is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hermes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hermes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ketterä has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ketterä is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ketterä won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 77:47. (average 3.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ketterä won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 49:20. (average 4.9:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Hermes	8	2	1	2	3	22:25	10
9	Kettera	9	1	1	2	5	18:28	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imatran Ketterä
Finnish Mestis
10.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Nokian Pyry	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
02.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	KeuPa - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 OT ✺
27.12.25	Imatran Ketterä - KeuPa	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
13.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hermes Kokkola	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	6:2 ✺
06.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - Nokian Pyry	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
21.11.25	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	6:0
11.10.25	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	1:2
27.09.25	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	5:2
08.02.25	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	6:5 OT
01.02.25	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	5:2
21.12.24	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	5:2
12.11.24	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	4:0

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