The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hermes Kokkola 50.9%
Draw 20.5%
Nokian Pyry 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
19.2%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
20.4%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Hermes Kokkola - Nokian Pyry Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
31. Makela A. (G)
77. Ahola A.
43. Karvonen J.
43. Heinonen O.
28. Bilgili S.
86. Maki E.
18. Kalliosalo J.
73. Niinisto J.
29. Hietamaki T.
92. Toivonen V.
20. Virolainen J.
Line 2
33. Monkkonen M.
32. Selin K.
5. Tikkanen T.
78. Haataja V.
45. Ekman T.
92. Nyppeli J.
51. Vahatalo J.
93. Jarvela J.
48. Hult O.
34. Mantymaki T.
Line 3
4. Lehtinen E.
25. Kaipinen N.
6. Lauri O.
48. Haataja A.
10. Takala E.
8. Saavola T.
24. Pennanen A.
12. Lehtosaari R.
21. Pulli T.
42. Mikkonen D.
Line 4
16. Cederberg E.
16. Harkimo D.
22. Aaltonen J.
11. Kaihua T.
53. Ulvila A.
17. Frantsila K.
97. Vesaaja J.
Substitutes
79. Saarinen K. (G)
35. Myllykangas A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:28, 0 - 1, Hietamaki T. (G), Bilgili S. (A), Virolainen J. (A2)
07:13, 1 - 1, Niinisto J. (G), Maki E. (A), Heinonen O. (A2)
13:01, 2 - 1, Tikkanen T. (G), Monkkonen M. (A), Vesaaja J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
09:41, 3 - 1, Ekman T. (G), Hult O. (A),
12:36, 4 - 1, Toivonen V. (G), Maki E. (A), Niinisto J. (A2)
15:53, 4 - 2, Virolainen J. (G), Hietamaki T. (A),
19:03, 5 - 2, Hult O. (G),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Hermes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Hermes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hermes has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 3.8:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hermes against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:5 goals (averaging 5.5:2.5 per game).