The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hermes Kokkola 53.6%
Draw 20.3%
Nokian Pyry 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
21.3%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
22.3%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Nokian Pyry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hermes Kokkola that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Hermes Kokkola - Nokian Pyry Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
79. Saarinen K. (G)
31. Makela A. (G)
43. Heinonen O.
62. Tuupanen T.
55. Vuorinen R.
28. Bilgili S. (C)
48. Hult O.
14. Tiihonen M.
51. Vahatalo J. (A)
11. Kaihua T.
45. Ekman T.
20. Virolainen J.
Line 2
77. Ahola A. (A)
43. Karvonen J.
5. Tikkanen T.
78. Haataja V.
86. Maki E.
8. Saavola T.
73. Niinisto J.
64. Rantanen J.
17. Puikkonen T.
29. Hietamaki T.
Line 3
33. Monkkonen M.
32. Selin K.
4. Lehtinen E.
26. Hietanen J.
21. Pulli T.
92. Nyppeli J.
50. Rautiainen J. (C)
12. Lehtosaari R.
10. Takala E.
34. Mantymaki T. (A)
Line 4
16. Cederberg E.
4. Ylitalo V. (A)
24. Pennanen A.
17. Frantsila K.
53. Ulvila A.
44. Salmi L.
6. Lauri O.
25. Kaipinen N.
Substitutes
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
35. Myllykangas A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:47, 1 - 0, Hult O. (G), Vahatalo J. (A), Ekman T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:25, 1 - 1, Virolainen J. (G), Selin K. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
10:52, 1 - 2, Virolainen J. (G), Bilgili S. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:43, 2 - 2, Ahola A. (G), Pulli T. (A), Rautiainen J. (A2)
11:38, 2 - 3, Haataja V. (G), Virolainen J. (A), Tiihonen M. (A2)
19:59, 3 - 3, Maki E. (G), Ahola A. (A), Hult O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:39, 3 - 4, Tiihonen M. (G), Virolainen J. (A), Karvonen J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 4.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Hermes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hermes has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:17 (averaging 4:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hermes against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:7 goals (averaging 5.3:2.3 per game).
Finland
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Saarinen K. (G) 
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