The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hermes Kokkola 53.7%
Draw 20.6%
KeuPa 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.6%
19.8%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
19.9%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
35. Varis K. (G)
77. Ahola A. (A)
7. Vaharautio K. (A)
43. Heinonen O.
25. Paganus T.
48. Hult O.
20. Eloranta E.
51. Vahatalo J. (A)
83. Ketonen N.
45. Ekman T.
74. Matikainen K. (A)
Line 2
33. Monkkonen M.
18. Vuontisvaara O.
5. Tikkanen T.
42. Wolin A. (C)
86. Maki E.
12. Liljamo T.
73. Niinisto J.
72. Mutka J.
21. Pulli T.
93. Jarvenpaa M.
Line 3
55. Vuorinen R.
26. Vilander V.
6. Lauri O.
2. Kesajarvi A.
10. Takala E.
16. Winqvist K.
50. Rautiainen J. (C)
78. Keihas R.
17. Puikkonen T.
9. Hokkanen R.
Line 4
16. Cederberg E.
10. Sundgren M.
24. Pennanen A.
24. Manni E.
53. Ulvila A.
56. Rantanen N.
46. Honkasalo J.
Substitutes
79. Saarinen K. (G)
8. Krook A.
41. Pasanen J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
04:36, 1 - 0, Pennanen A. (G), Honkasalo J. (A), Heinonen O. (A2)
09:46, 1 - 1, Winqvist K. (Penalty Shot),
13:10, 1 - 2, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Liljamo T. (A), Paganus T. (A2)
18:19, 1 - 3, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Vuontisvaara O. (A), Matikainen K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:54, 2 - 3, Pennanen A. (G), Honkasalo J. (A), Lauri O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:20, 2 - 4, Vuontisvaara O. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Hermes (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by KeuPa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Hermes is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hermes has recorded 13 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:50 (averaging 3.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hermes against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 48:31 goals (averaging 4:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Hermes
13
4
1
4
4
36:41
18
8
KeuPa
15
4
2
2
7
42:52
18
Last Results with these Odds
KeuPa - the odds 3.78 are the expected chance of winning is 24.58%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Ahopelto J. (G) 
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