Match Info

Mestis - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Imatran jäähalli (Imatra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Imatran Ketterä		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	4.6	5	1.51	Watch
	4.46	5.21	1.45
	5.6	5.39	1.42	Watch
	5.5	4.75	1.4
	5.81	5.05	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (4.84)	5.08 ↑ (4.73)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imatran Ketterä
17.7%

Draw
18.1%

Jokerit
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

19.6%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.5%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imatran Ketterä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jokerit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Jokerit will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
53. Lammi P. (G)	30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
11. Pietila N.	73. Tuhkanen O.
26. Salmela S. (C)	52. Tuomola R.
82. Sinkkonen A. (A)	40. Suni O.
21. Ruotsi J.	22. Forslund A.
13. Dvorak A.	74. Henriksson J.
Line 2
4. Tamminen J.	12. Tumanovs M.
46. Kiukas P.	47. Forsblom S. (C)
19. Tiihonen L.	29. Kallio B.
67. Lehtinen J.	92. Mustonen A.
51. Lemberg L.	26. Kangasniemi O.
Line 3
6. Rannisto J. (A)	53. Elorinne A. (A)
89. Laukkanen R.	41. Manninen O. (A)
28. Haaparanta M.	21. Karvinen O.
27. Paasovaara E.	19. Nalli M.
88. Viskari J.	80. Vainikainen V.
Line 4
77. Kakranen J.	2. Rantakari O.
98. Lempiainen J.	20. Lahnaviik R.
81. Lankinen J.	16. Henritius T.
14. Heinanen K.	14. Liuksiala J.
Substitutes
30. Tanninen V. (G)	32. Anttila E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:27, 0 - 1, Liuksiala J. (G), Forslund A. (A), Suni O. (A2)
06:56, 0 - 2, Henritius T. (G), Kangasniemi O. (A), Mustonen A. (A2)
10:19, 1 - 2, Lempiainen J. (G), Viskari J. (A), Laukkanen R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
16:06, 1 - 3, Henriksson J. (G), Forslund A. (A), Elorinne A. (A2)
19:18, 1 - 4, Forslund A. (G), Henriksson J. (A),

Preview

Jokerit leads series 3-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ketterä won 0.

Ketterä is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jokerit is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jokerit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jokerit is the team to beat.

We predict that Jokerit will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ketterä won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 40:57. (average 2:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ketterä won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Kettera	9	1	1	2	5	18:28	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imatran Ketterä
Finnish Mestis
03.04.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	5:0 ✺
31.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	3:2 ✺
23.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	4:3 ✺
21.03.26	IPK - Imatran Ketterä	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
03.04.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	5:0 ✺
31.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit	2:3 OT ✺
18.03.26	Jokerit - Kiekko-Vantaa	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
03.04.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	5:0
31.03.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	2:3
28.03.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	3:2
28.02.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	4:3 OT
27.02.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	1:3
07.02.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	5:1
06.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	3:4 penalties

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