The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imatran Ketterä 34.5%
Draw 21.8%
IPK 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
21.9%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
23.9%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imatran Ketterä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Imatran Ketterä - IPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Roos R. (G)
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
77. Kakranen J.
96. Gronblom T.
26. Salmela S. (C)
12. Mikkonen O. (A)
71. Hakala A.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
38. Himmanen N. (A)
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
13. Laurell E.
23. Paqvalin J.
Line 2
37. Hallikas J.
81. Paqvalin A.
6. Rannisto J. (A)
6. Leppanen T.
19. Tiihonen L.
28. Tolppola V.
67. Lehtinen J.
21. Jaatinen O.
91. Heinonen S.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
Line 3
63. Niemi A.
56. Nissinen T.
11. Pietila N.
2. Junkkari J.
72. Harma M.
9. Mykra O.
27. Paasovaara E.
33. Koskela S.
98. Lempiainen J.
67. Curri R.
Line 4
43. Virtala J.
4. Kotajarvi J.
29. Rantalainen J.
18. Tohila R.
81. Lankinen J.
26. Hattunen M.
55. Piironen V.
7. Suhonen P.
Substitutes
30. Tanninen V. (G)
31. Kerkola P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
15:48, 0 - 1, Paqvalin A. (G), Hattunen M. (A),
16:08, 1 - 1, Tiihonen L. (G), Hallikas J. (A), Hakala A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01', 1 - 2, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ketterä won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Ketterä (last 5 matches: 1 win).
IPK is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for IPK in today's match, at odds of 2.08.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ketterä has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:60 (averaging 3.3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ketterä against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 37:30 goals (averaging 4.1:3.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
8
6
1
1
0
30:12
21
9
Kettera
9
1
1
2
5
18:28
7
Last Results with these Odds
Imatran Ketterä - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
IPK - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.