Match Info

ECHL

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Xtream Arena (Coralville, IA)


	Iowa Heartlanders		Toledo Walleye

	1	X	2
	4.3	4.7	1.52
	4.32	4.72	1.55	Watch
	4.33	4.7	1.53
	4.3	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.32)	4.66 ↓ (4.72)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Heartlanders
21.1%

Draw
19.5%

Toledo Walleye
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

19.5%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

22.7%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Heartlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Toledo Walleye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Heartlanders than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo Walleye than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toledo Walleye, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iowa Heartlanders - Toledo Walleye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Rousseau W. (G)	30. Jurusik M. (G)
26. Carabin N.	77. Ambrosio C.
7. Coughlin L.	5. Andrews N.
27. Firriolo A.	13. Bouquot J.
88. Helland L.	7. Craggs S.
10. Jeri-Leon K.	12. Dickinson T.
47. Koethe M.	34. Ernst J.
95. Kumpulainen R.	16. Hawkins B.
44. Leskovar S.	9. Hillman W.
8. Massie N.	23. Keenan C.
23. McDermott E.	78. Kelly T.
11. McGuire R.	67. Lewandowski M.
36. Miura Y.	26. McCourt R.
15. Mobley L.	11. Michaelian B.
12. Patterson M.	6. Palocsik T.
28. Robilotti J.	25. Pietila J.
13. Schultz B.	79. Roy N.
9. Sop M.	8. Smirnov D.
17. Sorenson J.	20. Truscott J.
Substitutes
74. Giannuzzi D. (G)	33. Lalonde N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:34, 0 - 1, Pietila J. (G), Smirnov D. (A), Kelly T. (A2)
18:29, 0 - 2, Hawkins B. (G), McCourt R. (A), Kelly T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:42, 1 - 2, Carabin N. (G), Schultz B. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:34, 2 - 2, Coughlin L. (G), Sop M. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
05', 3 - 2, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 2.

Iowa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Toledo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toledo is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 35:66. (average 1.9:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 2:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Heartlanders
ECHL
16.01.26	Iowa Heartlanders - Toledo Walleye	3:4 ✺
14.01.26	Iowa Heartlanders - Kalamazoo Wings	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	Kalamazoo Wings - Iowa Heartlanders	4:3 ✺
10.01.26	Kalamazoo Wings - Iowa Heartlanders	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLLW
- Toledo Walleye
ECHL
16.01.26	Iowa Heartlanders - Toledo Walleye	3:4 ✺
11.01.26	Fort Wayne Komets - Toledo Walleye	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Toledo Walleye - Fort Wayne Komets	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Toledo Walleye - Bloomington Bison	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ECHL
16.01.26	Iowa Heartlanders - Toledo Walleye	3:4
09.01.26	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	1:2
20.12.25	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	8:2
19.12.25	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	5:2
09.11.25	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	1:2
26.01.25	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	4:2
27.12.24	Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders	4:3 penalties

Iowa Heartlanders - Toledo Walleye: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide