Match Info
ECHLDate: 17 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Xtream Arena (Coralville, IA)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Iowa Heartlanders |
|
Toledo Walleye |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
1.52 |
|
 |
4.32 |
4.72 |
1.55 |
 Watch |
 |
4.33 |
4.7 |
1.53 |
|
 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
1.52 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↓
(4.32) |
4.66 ↓
(4.72) |
1.53 ↓
(1.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Iowa Heartlanders
21.1% | Draw
19.5% | Toledo Walleye
59.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iowa Heartlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Toledo Walleye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Heartlanders than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo Walleye than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toledo Walleye, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
35.  Rousseau W. (G)
| 30.  Jurusik M. (G)
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26. Carabin N.
| 77. Ambrosio C.
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7. Coughlin L.
| 5. Andrews N.
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27. Firriolo A.
| 13. Bouquot J.
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88. Helland L.
| 7. Craggs S.
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10. Jeri-Leon K.
| 12. Dickinson T.
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47. Koethe M.
| 34. Ernst J.
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95.  Kumpulainen R.
| 16. Hawkins B.
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44. Leskovar S.
| 9. Hillman W.
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8. Massie N.
| 23. Keenan C.
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23. McDermott E.
| 78. Kelly T.
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11. McGuire R.
| 67. Lewandowski M.
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36.  Miura Y.
| 26. McCourt R.
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15. Mobley L.
| 11. Michaelian B.
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12. Patterson M.
| 6. Palocsik T.
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28. Robilotti J.
| 25. Pietila J.
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13. Schultz B.
| 79. Roy N.
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9. Sop M.
| 8.  Smirnov D.
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17. Sorenson J.
| 20. Truscott J.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
74. Giannuzzi D. (G)
| 33. Lalonde N. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 03:34, 0 - 1, Pietila J. (G), Smirnov D. (A), Kelly T. (A2)
- 18:29, 0 - 2, Hawkins B. (G), McCourt R. (A), Kelly T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:42, 1 - 2, Carabin N. (G), Schultz B. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19:34, 2 - 2, Coughlin L. (G), Sop M. (A),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 05', 3 - 2, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 2.Iowa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Toledo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Toledo is the team to beat.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 35:66. (average 1.9:3.7).Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 2:3.4).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ECHL | | | 16.01.26 | Iowa Heartlanders - Toledo Walleye | 3:4 | | 09.01.26 | Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders | 1:2 | | 20.12.25 | Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders | 8:2 | | 19.12.25 | Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders | 5:2 | | 09.11.25 | Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders | 1:2 | | 26.01.25 | Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders | 4:2 | | 27.12.24 | Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders | 4:3 penalties |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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