Match Info

AHL

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Wells Fargo Arena (Des Moines, IA)


	Iowa Wild		Tucson Roadrunners

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.2	2	Watch
	2.65	4.15	2.16
	2.61	4.17	2.16	Watch
	2.64	4.05	2.16	Watch
	2.65	4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.61)	4.11 ↓ (4.17)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Wild
34.6%

Draw
22.3%

Tucson Roadrunners
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

22.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

22%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Petersen C. (G)	31. Villalta M. (G)
96. Aube-Kubel N. (A)	29. Agozzino A.
19. Bankier C.	12. Allard O.
86. Foudy J.	50. But D.
6. Gleason B. (A)	44. Connauton K. (A)
43. Haight H.	8. Duda A.
27. Heidt R.	39. Hebig C.
23. Kiersted M. (C)	23. Kunc M.
95. Kumpulainen R.	10. Lamoureux M.
7. Lambos C.	71. Lipkin S.
10. Marek B.	43. Lutz J.
20. Mayhew G.	94. Matikka M.
50. Milne M.	22. McCartney B. (A)
38. Newpower W.	45. Nordh N.
28. Ohgren L.	7. Perunovich S.
24. Olausson O.	27. Poganski A. (C)
3. Peart J.	5. Russo R.
13. Sandelin R.	55. Szuber M.
21. Spacek D.	25. Walker S.
Substitutes
31. Hlavaj S. (G)	30. Stauber J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:44, 0 - 1, McCartney B. (G), Perunovich S. (A), Duda A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:25, 0 - 2, Walker S. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:03, 0 - 3, Poganski A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 3.

Iowa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tucson is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Tucson has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 52:60. (average 2.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 2.8:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Iowa Wild - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Wild
AHL
28.10.25	Iowa Wild - Grand Rapids Griffins	3:4 penalties ✺
25.10.25	Texas Stars - Iowa Wild	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Texas Stars - Iowa Wild	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Charlotte Checkers - Iowa Wild	4:1 ✺
17.10.25	Charlotte Checkers - Iowa Wild	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLL
- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
29.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Manitoba Moose	3:4 ✺
28.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Manitoba Moose	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	1:3 ✺
24.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
10.02.24	Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners	5:4 OT
09.02.24	Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1
17.01.24	Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild	4:1
15.01.24	Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild	3:1
06.04.22	Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild	1:5
05.04.22	Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild	1:6
21.11.21	Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners	1:2

Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide