Match Info

AHL

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Tucson Convention Center (Tucson, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Tucson Roadrunners		Calgary Wranglers

	1	X	2
	2.45	4	2.2	Watch
	2.5	4	2.31
	2.52	4.14	2.32	Watch
	2.5	3.9	2.25
	2.47	4	2.26	Watch
	2.4	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)	4.01 ↓ (4.11)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson Roadrunners
36.9%

Draw
22.8%

Calgary Wranglers
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

22.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

22.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Calgary Wranglers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Stauber J. (G)	35. Sergeev A. (G)
12. Allard O.	49. Basha A.
8. Duda A.	22. Bell P.
39. Hebig C. (A)	19. Bishop C. (C)
23. Kunc M.	41. Cicek N. (A)
10. Lamoureux M.	17. Ciona L.
71. Lipkin S.	29. Frk M.
43. Lutz J.	3. Grushnikov A.
94. Matikka M.	15. Hunt D. (A)
22. McCartney B. (A)	6. Kerins R.
16. McGregor R.	44. King C.
45. Nordh N.	33. Mack S.
79. Onyebuchi M.	26. Miromanov D.
7. Perunovich S.	21. Morin E.
27. Poganski A. (C)	45. Morton S.
21. Rooney K.	2. Ottenbreit T.
26. Simashev D.	4. Poirier J.
55. Szuber M.	25. Silye D.
25. Walker S.	11. Stromgren W.
Substitutes
31. Villalta M. (G)	30. Say O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:57, 0 - 1, Hunt D. (G), Stromgren W. (A), Kerins R. (A2)
08:45, 1 - 1, Nordh N. (G), Hebig C. (A), Duda A. (A2)
17:22, 1 - 2, Stromgren W. (G), King C. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:51, 2 - 2, Szuber M. (G), Allard O. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:57, 3 - 2, Walker S. (G), Perunovich S. (A), McCartney B. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tucson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:69. (average 2.9:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:41. (average 3.3:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Wranglers - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
27.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Tucson Roadrunners	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	7:8 OT ✺
12.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW
- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
27.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls	3:4 OT ✺
14.12.25	Calgary Wranglers - Abbotsford Canucks	4:3 OT ✺
13.12.25	Calgary Wranglers - Abbotsford Canucks	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
27.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	5:2
19.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	3:4 OT
18.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	5:4 OT
02.04.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	3:4
01.04.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Calgary Wranglers	3:2
15.01.25	Calgary Wranglers - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3
14.01.25	Calgary Wranglers - Tucson Roadrunners	5:2

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