Match Info

AHL

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tucson Convention Center (Tucson, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Tucson Roadrunners		Bakersfield Condors

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.2	2.05	Watch
	2.8	4.25	2.07
	2.69	4.04	2.13
	2.73	4.2	2.15	Watch
	2.7	4	2.05
	2.71	4.1	2.1	Watch
	2.6	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.76)	4.11 ↓ (4.23)	2.09 (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tucson Roadrunners
34%

Draw
22.3%

Bakersfield Condors
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

21.9%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

21.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Stauber J. (G)	29. Ingram C. (G)
29. Agozzino A. (A)	82. Akey B.
12. Allard O.	44. Brown J. (A)
39. Hebig C.	73. Carfagna D.
23. Kunc M.	19. D'Amato D.
10. Lamoureux M.	39. Griffith S. (C)
43. Lutz J.	52. Hamblin J. (A)
94. Matikka M.	53. Howard I.
22. McCartney B. (A)	23. Hutson Q.
16. McGregor R.	15. Jarventie R.
42. Moore L.	37. Leppanen A.
45. Nordh N.	57. Marjala V.
7. Perunovich S.	78. Millman M.
27. Poganski A. (C)	43. Petrov M.
5. Russo R.	16. Pitlick R.
26. Simashev D.	68. Pitlick R.
55. Szuber M.	8. Poulin S.
17. Tullio T.	77. Prokop L.
25. Walker S.	81. Samanski J.
Substitutes
31. Villalta M. (G)	90. Tomkins M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:12, 1 - 0, Allard O. (G), Lutz J. (A), Moore L. (A2)
14:41, 1 - 1, Leppanen A. (G), Griffith S. (A), Pitlick R. (A2)
17:25, 2 - 1, Tullio T. (G), McCartney B. (A), McGregor R. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 4)
01:28, 2 - 2, Hutson Q. (G), Howard I. (A), Akey B. (A2)
02:22, 3 - 2, Tullio T. (G), McCartney B. (A), McGregor R. (A2)
08:29, 4 - 2, Perunovich S. (G), Walker S. (A), Simashev D. (A2)
10:31, 4 - 3, Marjala V. (G), Howard I. (A), Prokop L. (A2)
12:42, 4 - 4, D'Amato D. (G), Griffith S. (A),
14:16, 4 - 5, Marjala V. (G), Poulin S. (A),
15:21, 5 - 5, McCartney B. (G), McGregor R. (A), Tullio T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:05, 5 - 6, Petrov M. (G), Poulin S. (A), D'Amato D. (A2)
07:00, 6 - 6, McCartney B. (G), Hebig C. (A), Simashev D. (A2)
09:38, 6 - 7, Hutson Q. (G), Marjala V. (A), Leppanen A. (A2)
18:24, 7 - 7, Hebig C. (G), Poganski A. (A), McCartney B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:07, 7 - 8, Howard I. (G), Hutson Q. (A), Griffith S. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bakersfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:65. (average 2.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 3.1:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.64%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
12.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:4 OT ✺
06.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	2:6 ✺
05.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3 OT ✺
03.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Abbotsford Canucks	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL
- Bakersfield Condors
AHL
12.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:4 OT ✺
10.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	2:5 ✺
06.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	0:4 ✺
05.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	5:2 ✺
03.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
12.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:4 OT
03.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1
25.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	1:3
24.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:1
06.04.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:2
05.04.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	4:2
29.03.25	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	3:2

Upcoming Matches