Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.9	2.58
	2.36	3.9	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
39.5%

Draw
24%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Izhstal - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Volkov G. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
28. Alekseev A. (A)	87. Ananyin Y.
10. Astashevsky S.	9. Boltanov A.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	98. Fursa A.
23. Glebov G. (C)	97. Galenyuk M.
81. Glinsky M.	37. Gololobov D.
77. Khisamutdinov A.	15. Grass M.
39. Kovalyov A.	77. Kuzyakin A.
82. Murylev A.	36. Mastryukov A.
61. Nazarevich A.	14. Medvedev S.
45. Nazarko A.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
36. Poyarkov D.	95. Osipovich B.
21. Pugachyov A.	43. Penzin Y.
27. Pukelo K.	51. Poltavchuk N.
70. Shilov A.	94. Romanov R.
11. Slepkov I.	88. Rybin I.
98. Yanchevsky M.	32. Shetle E.
57. Yepishchev I.	7. Timashov N.
41. Yerofeyev A.	21. Yegorov A.
50. Zhdanov Y.	74. Zhugin V.
	13. Zimin N.
Substitutes
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 3)
03:28, 0 - 1, Mastryukov A. (G),
04:34, 0 - 2, Galenyuk M. (G), Timashov N. (A), Yegorov A. (A2)
07:50, 0 - 3, Rybin I. (G), Grass M. (A),
19:11, 1 - 3, Poyarkov D. (G), Pugachyov A. (A),
19:54, 2 - 3, Murylev A. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:44, 2 - 4, Galenyuk M. (G), Yegorov A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
05:35, 3 - 4, Nazarevich A. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A), Astashevsky S. (A2)
12:03, 3 - 5, Fursa A. (G), Penzin Y. (A), Zhugin V. (A2)
15:08, 4 - 5, Nazarevich A. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
19:41, 4 - 6, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Rybin I. (A), Shetle E. (A2)

Preview

Izhstal is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Magnitka is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In recent matches, Izhstal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magnitka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Izhstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Izhstal will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 3.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Izhstal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.11%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
14.03.26	Izhstal - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
12.03.26	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5 ✺
07.03.26	Izhstal - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Molot Perm - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
14.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 OT ✺
12.03.26	Molot Perm - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Kristall Saratov	3:4 OT ✺
04.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Ryazan	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Izhstal	2:4
25.12.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Izhstal	2:4
26.11.24	Izhstal - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties

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