Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.95	2.43
	2.48	3.92	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 (2.49)	3.94 ↑ (3.89)	2.43 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
37.6%

Draw
23.8%

Gornyak-UGMK
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Izhstal - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Izhstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	30. Novosyolov N. (G)
81. Glinsky M.	83. Karpovich D.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)	50. Shchemerov A.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	32. Borisov S.
10. Astashevsky S.	29. Khremkin K.
61. Nazarevich A.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 2
3. Yuzlenko Y.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
50. Zhdanov Y. (C)	72. Trofimov Y.
28. Alekseev A.	96. Miller N.
27. Pukelo K.	14. Makhrin M. (A)
39. Kovalyov A.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
11. Slepkov I.	4. Bolshakov M.
98. Yanchevsky M.	62. Shchuchinov A.
25. Shiksatdarov I.	7. Gordin A.
57. Yepishchev I.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
70. Shilov A.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 4
82. Murylev A.	26. Ishimnikov N.
21. Pugachyov A.	36. Egorov E.
36. Poyarkov D.	18. Sushchev V.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	59. Razdyakonov V.
Substitutes
31. Lubsky M. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:04, 0 - 1, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
03:57, 1 - 1, Shiksatdarov I. (G), Yepishchev I. (A),
06:45, 2 - 1, Slepkov I. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
02:59, 2 - 2, Khremkin K. (G), Borisov S. (A), Ovchinnikov I. (A2)
06:33, 2 - 3, Razdyakonov V. (G), Sushchev V. (A),
16:24, 2 - 4, Sushchev V. (G), Shchuchinov A. (A), Bolshakov M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:57, 2 - 5, Lukhovskoy N. (G),

Preview

Izhstal is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 33:45. (average 1.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2.3:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Izhstal - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 6% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
07.03.26	Izhstal - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Molot Perm - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
20.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
02.03.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
26.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan	2:1 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:0
23.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	5:2
20.11.24	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1
12.02.24	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1 OT
08.09.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:2
17.02.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:1
12.09.22	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4

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