Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.35	4	2.63
	2.32	3.92	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.34)	3.96 ↑ (3.85)	2.61 (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
40.3%

Draw
23.7%

Chelmet
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Izhstal - Chelmet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
81. Glinsky M.	18. Mikanovich D.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)	22. Filatov A.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	29. Mokin M. (A)
10. Astashevsky S.	37. Mits Z.
61. Nazarevich A.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
3. Yuzlenko Y.	77. Tertyshny A.
50. Zhdanov Y. (C)	43. Rodionov M.
28. Alekseev A.	34. Gusmanov F.
27. Pukelo K.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
39. Kovalyov A.	10. Nizameyev A.
Line 3
11. Slepkov I.	73. Fedoseyev Y.
98. Yanchevsky M.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
25. Shiksatdarov I.	36. Shubin D.
57. Yepishchev I.	46. Shaveko V.
70. Shilov A.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 4
82. Murylev A.	48. Pronichkin A.
41. Yerofeyev A.	17. Yekimov N.
36. Poyarkov D.	16. Shen A.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
Substitutes
43. Volkov G. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:41, 1 - 0, Dyuryagin D. (G), Shilov A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
05:10, 1 - 1, Aglamzyanov R. (G), Rodionov M. (A),
09:09, 1 - 2, Rodionov M. (G), Mits Z. (A), Zinovyev I. (A2)
18:25, 1 - 3, Shaveko V. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:50, 1 - 4, Nizameyev A. (G), Shen A. (A), Aglamzyanov R. (A2)
12:13, 2 - 4, Yerofeyev A. (G), Dolgopyatov N. (A), Poyarkov D. (A2)
16:39, 3 - 4, Murylev A. (G), Zhdanov Y. (A), Dyuryagin D. (A2)

Preview

Izhstal is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Chelmet is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.

Izhstal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelmet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 35:52. (average 1.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 2:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Izhstal - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
12.03.26	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5 ✺
07.03.26	Izhstal - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Molot Perm - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
20.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
12.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.09.25	Chelmet - Izhstal	3:1
21.12.24	Chelmet - Izhstal	0:1
22.11.24	Izhstal - Chelmet	3:6
18.02.24	Izhstal - Chelmet	1:4
06.09.23	Chelmet - Izhstal	2:1 penalties
13.02.23	Chelmet - Izhstal	0:2
08.09.22	Izhstal - Chelmet	2:1

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