Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm) 🌤️ ...


	Molot Perm		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.38
	2.61	3.8	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)	2.37 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
35.3%

Draw
25%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

24.8%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Molot Perm - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
16. Averin N. (A)	21. Yegorov A.
89. Malyavin A.	37. Gololobov D.
15. Zenchikov I.	36. Mastryukov A.
10. Plastinin V. (C)	15. Grass M.
81. Galimzyanov R.	9. Boltanov A. (A)
Line 2
55. Kozhevnikov A.	51. Poltavchuk N.
9. Pirogov I.	32. Shetle E.
34. Mikhasyonok V.	74. Zhugin V.
61. Polyakov V.	13. Zimin N. (C)
51. Kitsyn M. (A)	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
44. Yerokhin A.	63. Vaulin M.
83. Basistyj K.	7. Timashov N. (A)
11. Lapin D.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
71. Kolesnikov Y.	18. Tyutnev P.
22. Sinyavsky P.	98. Fursa A.
Line 4
59. Sokolov N.	94. Romanov R.
88. Tesanov D.	95. Osipovich B.
13. Yabelov D.	97. Galenyuk M.
92. Kazakov M.	77. Kuzyakin A.
Substitutes
90. Guskov Y. (G)	35. Moiseyev G. (G)
	43. Penzin Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
12:25, 1 - 0, Kozhevnikov A. (G), Yabelov D. (A),
18:13, 2 - 0, Plastinin V. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Magnitka is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Molot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Magnitka has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Molot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Molot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Perm	16	9	2	0	5	45:27	22
21	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	14	5	0	6	3	29:29	16

Last Results with these Odds

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
07.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Molot Perm	2:1 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Molot Perm - Toros Neftekamsk	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Molot Perm - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
24.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Molot Perm	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
06.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Kristall Saratov	3:4 OT ✺
04.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Ryazan	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
23.02.26	Chelny - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
06.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Molot Perm	3:1
21.12.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Molot Perm	3:2
22.11.24	Molot Perm - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1

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