Match Info

VHL

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Krytyy detskiy ledovyy dvorets sporta (Magnitogorsk)


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.85	3
	2.38	3.84	2.58	Watch
	2	3.66	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.31)	3.78 ↓ (3.84)	2.76 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
41.3%

Draw
24.8%

Dizel Penza
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magnitka Magnitogorsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
23. Amirbekov J. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
21. Yegorov A.	68. Rudakov G.
37. Gololobov D.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
36. Mastryukov A.	91. Andriyanov A.
15. Grass M.	95. Pochivalov D.
9. Boltanov A. (A)	10. Popov D.
Line 2
51. Poltavchuk N.	7. Spitsenko K.
32. Shetle E.	6. Lukichyov A.
74. Zhugin V.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
13. Zimin N. (C)	47. Bobylyov V.
88. Rybin I.	69. Boluchevsky A.
Line 3
7. Timashov N.	83. Sukhov S.
28. Zhukov K. (A)	77. Bannikov A.
31. Mirzabalayev A.	41. Lukin V.
18. Tyutnev P.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
98. Fursa A.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
63. Vaulin M.	54. Filippov T.
94. Romanov R.	16. Polshkov A.
95. Osipovich B.	34. Larichev V.
97. Galenyuk M.	96. Baranov Y.
99. Kovgorenya A.
Substitutes
20. Kramzin Y. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:36, 1 - 0, Zhukov K. (G), Zimin N. (A), Timashov N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:36, 2 - 0, Zimin N. (G),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Magnitka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Magnitka will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 6:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Magnitka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
20	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
02.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Ryazan	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
23.02.26	Chelny - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Dizel Penza
VHL
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
24.02.26	Dizel Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.09.25	Dizel Penza - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:8
23.02.25	Dizel Penza - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:5
30.09.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	5:2

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