Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	JYP U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.93	1.84
	3.41	3.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	3.96 ↓ (4.17)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP U20
27.2%

Draw
23.1%

TPS U20
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

22.1%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

21.9%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for TPS U20 aligns with the current prediction.

JYP U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
04:43, 1 - 0, Vapola M. (G), Aliranta E. (A), Ilvonen E. (A2)
09:01, 1 - 1, Wahlroos O. (G), Virtanen J. (A), Kaukonen J. (A2)
14:28, 2 - 1, Tiilikainen J. (G), Immonen T. (A), Frantila A. (A2)
15:23, 2 - 2, Kallio W. (G), Vahalahti E. (A), Virtanen J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:18, 3 - 2, Tiilikainen J. (G), Immonen T. (A), Frantila A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
17:54, 3 - 3, Keinanen K. (G), Vilhunen P. (A), Nummelin R. (A2)
18:51, 4 - 3, Tiilikainen J. (G),
19:48, 5 - 3, Sinivuori E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 1.

In recent matches, JYP U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TPS U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TPS U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 38:74. (average 1.9:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:47. (average 1.8:3.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	JYP U20 - HIFK U20	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	4:3 ✺
20.09.25	JYP U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:6 ✺
13.09.25	RoKi U20 - JYP U20	2:3 penalties ✺
06.09.25	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	KalPa U20 - TPS U20	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	TPS U20 - KooKoo U20	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jokerit U20 - TPS U20	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.01.25	TPS U20 - JYP U20	4:2
21.12.24	JYP U20 - TPS U20	2:3
24.03.24	JYP U20 - TPS U20	2:3
23.03.24	TPS U20 - JYP U20	0:4
21.03.24	JYP U20 - TPS U20	2:7
19.03.24	TPS U20 - JYP U20	2:1
01.02.24	JYP U20 - TPS U20	0:1

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