Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	TPS U20		Ässät U20

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.3	2
	2.42	3.95	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.9	2.2
	2.64	3.84	2.18
	2.55	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.64)	4 ↑ (3.86)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS U20
36.1%

Draw
22.5%

Ässät U20
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

23.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

23.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Ässät U20 aligns with the current prediction.

TPS U20 - Ässät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
03:04, 1 - 0, Laine L. (G), Vahalahti E. (A), Uusikartano A. (A2)
09:27, 2 - 0, Lehtimaki J. (G), Orelma P. (A), Virkkunen V. (A2)
12:07, 2 - 1, Lahtinen T. (G), Eskola L. (A), Helenius M. (A2)
18:54, 3 - 1, Fugleberg P. (G), Uusikartano A. (A), Rantala O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:44, 4 - 1, Rantala O. (G), Uusikartano A. (A), Paganus T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:14, 5 - 1, Vilhunen P. (G), Virkkunen V. (A), Orelma P. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

TPS U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 60:70. (average 3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:39. (average 3.2:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	TPS U20	11	3	0	4	4	30:41	13
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.01.26	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Pelicans U20 - TPS U20	2:4 ✺
19.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - TPS U20	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWWL
- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.01.26	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT ✺
07.12.25	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	0:2
14.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	4:1
13.09.25	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	0:1
28.02.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	4:3 OT
22.11.24	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	3:1
04.10.24	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 penalties
10.04.24	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	2:4

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