Match Info

Mestis

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Lappi Areena (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	RoKi		Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.10	2.65
	1.98	4.30	2.88	Watch
	2.17	4.00	2.54
	2.12	4.52	2.66	Watch
	2.14	3.95	2.50
	2.16	4.15	2.60	Watch
	2.10	4.20	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)	4.17 ↓ (4.48)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi
43.5%

Draw
21.9%

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

20.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

22.3%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Parviainen O. (G)	23. Kohonen P. (G)
55. Kenttamaa A. (C)	73. Tuhkanen O.
11. Laakso E.	6. Korkka O.
91. Mikkola M.	11. Taskula J.
19. Orn T.	20. Kokkola T. (A)
21. Alanko T. (A)	17. Karjalainen H. (A)
Line 2
18. Siira L.	77. Fisk J.
2. Manninen J. (A)	55. Koskela V.
96. Savolainen V.	29. Lohisalo J.
87. Ruusunen R.	51. Koskenkorva J. (C)
76. Kaarela E.	82. Hult O.
Line 3
33. Lamsa J.	56. Haikonen A.
5. Antikainen A.	26. Lehikoinen A.
77. Sikorski A.	5. Sihvonen R.
9. Lindroos V.	97. Janhonen J.
90. Vierimaa W.	80. Vallius S.
Line 4
84. Gronlund N.	60. Kuikka J.
24. Puotiniemi V.	28. Suvanto N.
12. Ohtonen J.	19. Brygger J.
23. Heinonen J.	39. Niemi E.
Substitutes
1. Hyypia E. (G)	30. Rembetti C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
02:21, 0 - 1, Karjalainen H. (G), Taskula J. (A),
10:15, 0 - 2, Sihvonen R. (G), Vallius S. (A), Lehikoinen A. (A2)
18:06, 1 - 2, Sikorski A. (G), Vierimaa W. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:45, 2 - 2, Savolainen V. (G), Kaarela E. (A), Ruusunen R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:55, 2 - 3, Lohisalo J. (G), Fisk J. (A), Koskela V. (A2)
03:31, 3 - 3, Ohtonen J. (G), Sikorski A. (A), Lamsa J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Orn T. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

RoKi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for RoKi in today's match, at odds of 2.07.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, RoKi has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:56 (averaging 3.3:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RoKi against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 38:30 goals (averaging 3.5:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15
7	Kiekko-Pojat	9	2	1	1	5	24:34	9

Last Results with these Odds

RoKi - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.81%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
02.10.26	RoKi - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	KeuPa - RoKi	2:5 ✺
25.09.26	Nokian Pyry - RoKi	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	IPK - RoKi	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	RoKi - TuTo	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW
- Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
Finnish Mestis
02.10.26	Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:5 penalties ✺
26.09.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Nokian Pyry	4:2 ✺
16.09.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
27.02.26	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
31.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	1:4
09.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	3:4 penalties
05.12.25	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:4 OT
31.10.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	6:0
04.10.25	RoKi - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	4:5
19.02.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	2:7

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