Match Info

Date: 14 October 2021, Thursday


	Jokerit		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.65	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4.75	5
	1.53	4.75	5	Watch
	1.49	4.8	5.4
	1.48	5.22	5.1
	1.5	4.75	5
	1.49	4.95	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)	4.84 ↓ (5.5)	5.16 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
62.4%

Draw
19.4%

Sibir Novosibirsk
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

17.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

9.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jokerit's form might have worsened.

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jokerit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sibir Novosibirsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	10.5%	42.1%

Jokerit - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jokerit will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Sibir will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jokerit: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs) and 9).

Jokerit is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sibir is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Jokerit is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Jokerit won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 55-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Jokerit won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
KHL
12.10.21	Jokerit - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
08.10.21	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Jokerit	3:2 OT ✺
06.10.21	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Jokerit	5:1 ✺
04.10.21	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Jokerit	3:2 penalties ✺
01.10.21	Jokerit - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
12.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
08.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	3:1 ✺
04.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:3 ✺
01.10.21	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.10.20	Sibir Novosibirsk - Jokerit	3:4
25.09.20	Jokerit - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2
06.12.19	Sibir Novosibirsk - Jokerit	3:4
29.11.19	Jokerit - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.19	Sibir Novosibirsk - Jokerit	3:4
KHL
31.01.19	Sibir Novosibirsk - Jokerit	3:4 OT
03.01.19	Jokerit - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1

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