Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday


	Dinamo Riga		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.85	2.45	Watch
	2.55	4	2.4
	2.55	3.8	2.43	Watch
	2.5	3.8	2.46
	2.6	3.88	2.45
	2.4	3.75	2.62
	2.51	3.94	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.38)	3.86 ↓ (3.9)	2.47 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Riga
37.4%

Draw
24.4%

Sibir Novosibirsk
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

18.5%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sibir Novosibirsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Dinamo Riga - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Dinamo Riga will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Sibir will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sibir: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs)).

Dinamo Riga is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sibir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Dinamo Riga have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Dinamo Riga won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 46-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Riga won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Riga
KHL
08.10.21	Sochi - Dinamo Riga	3:2 OT ✺
06.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	3:1 ✺
04.10.21	Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Riga	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	Amur Khabarovsk - Dinamo Riga	3:2 penalties ✺
29.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
08.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	3:1 ✺
04.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:3 ✺
01.10.21	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3 ✺
29.09.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
06.10.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	3:1
25.11.20	Dinamo Riga - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3
14.09.20	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	4:3 OT
26.02.20	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	4:2
28.01.20	Dinamo Riga - Sibir Novosibirsk	0:1
07.10.18	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Riga	6:3
08.09.18	Dinamo Riga - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:0

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