Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Jokerit U20		Ässät U20

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.3	1.9
	2.77	3.98	2.11	Watch
	2.63	3.9	2.05
	2.72	4.1	2.11
	2.6	4.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.77)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit U20
34%

Draw
21.9%

Ässät U20
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

23.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

24.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:54, 0 - 1, Eskola L. (G), Eskola P. (A), Saarimaki M. (A2)
09:29, 1 - 1, Rasanen V. (G), Kaipinen N. (A),
09:36, 2 - 1, Kaipinen N. (G), Aarvala T. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:47, 3 - 1, Rasanen V. (G), Aarvala T. (A), Ukkonen E. (A2)
18:56, 3 - 2, Aijala E. (G), Kamarainen R. (A), Heinila E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 2.

Jokerit U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ässät U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ässät U20 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 57:58. (average 2.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 3.1:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Jokerit U20	11	6	1	2	2	47:26	22
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Pelicans U20	0:7 ✺
09.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Jokerit U20	6:4 ✺
19.12.25	Jokerit U20 - HIFK U20	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	1:7 ✺
09.01.26	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	5:1 ✺
04.01.26	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.11.25	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	1:3
24.10.25	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	2:0
01.03.25	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	3:2
16.11.24	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	3:5
07.01.24	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	3:1
06.10.23	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	1:2 OT
16.12.22	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	4:3

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