Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Ässät U20		Kärpät U20

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.11	3.46	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.4
	1.77	4.15	3.44
	1.68	4.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	4.24 ↑ (4.11)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
52%

Draw
21.3%

Kärpät U20
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

22.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:31, 1 - 0, Aijala E. (G), Eskola P. (A), Kim A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
08:44, 2 - 0, Poikkeus T. (G), Kim A. (A), Aijala E. (A2)
11:55, 3 - 0, Kamarainen R. (G), Leppanen H. (A),
17:46, 4 - 0, Juusela A. (G), Eskola L. (A), Eskola P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:43, 5 - 0, Kim A. (G), Kostilainen S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ässät U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Ässät U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:57. (average 3.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:37. (average 3.3:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.12.25	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT ✺
07.12.25	Ässät U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3 OT ✺
29.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.01.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
19.12.25	KooKoo U20 - Kärpät U20	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kärpät U20 - HPK U20	6:3 ✺
07.12.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Kärpät U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	Kärpät U20 - Ässät U20	1:6
21.02.25	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	3:2 penalties
23.03.24	Kärpät U20 - Ässät U20	2:6
21.03.24	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3
16.02.24	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	3:6
16.12.23	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	4:6
10.12.22	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	2:1

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