Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	TPS U20		Jokerit U20

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.2
	2.52	3.88	2.31	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.25
	2.45	3.88	2.26
	2.35	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.52)	3.91 ↑ (3.88)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS U20
37.5%

Draw
22.8%

Jokerit U20
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.7%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jokerit U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

TPS U20 - Jokerit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
10:31, 1 - 0, Parssinen J. (G), Kallio W. (A),
14:59, 2 - 0, Uusikartano R. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:59, 3 - 0, Nummelin R. (G), Keinanen K. (A),
18:30, 4 - 0, Vilhunen P. (G), Virtanen J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 1.

Recent performances by TPS U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jokerit U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TPS U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jokerit U20 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:61. (average 3.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 3.6:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Jokerit U20	11	6	1	2	2	47:26	22
11	TPS U20	11	3	0	4	4	30:41	13

Last Results with these Odds

TPS U20 - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.01.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Pelicans U20 - TPS U20	2:4 ✺
19.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - TPS U20	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	4:5 OT ✺
12.12.25	TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWLL
- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Jokerit U20	6:4 ✺
19.12.25	Jokerit U20 - HIFK U20	1:6 ✺
13.12.25	Jokerit U20 - KalPa U20	1:2 OT ✺
12.12.25	Jokerit U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Jokerit U20 - Ilves U20	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.10.25	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties
12.09.25	Jokerit U20 - TPS U20	2:4
30.11.24	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3
11.10.24	Jokerit U20 - TPS U20	5:2
26.01.24	Jokerit U20 - TPS U20	6:1
23.03.23	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	0:1
21.03.23	Jokerit U20 - TPS U20	2:1 OT

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