The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK U20 53%
Draw 21.3%
Lukko U20 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
22%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
22.4%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
HPK U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
Overtime (0 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 2.
HPK U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lukko U20 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lukko U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with HPK U20 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK U20 has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:64 (averaging 2.7:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 24:29 goals (averaging 2.4:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Lukko U20
15
8
2
0
5
45:32
28
7
Hameenlinna U20
14
8
0
3
3
56:36
27
Last Results with these Odds
HPK U20 - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 50.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.