Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	KAC II		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	3.5	4	1.75
	3.15	4.1	1.8
	3.15	3.55	1.78
	3.5	4.2	1.67
	3.25	4.4	1.83
	3.25	4.2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.65)	4.08 ↓ (4.28)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAC II
27.3%

Draw
22.1%

Gherdëina
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

21%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

20.1%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

KAC II - Gherdëina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KAC II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gherdëina will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KAC II won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Gherdëina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gherdëina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches KAC II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 41-72.

Including matches at home between the teams KAC II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
30.09.23	KAC II - Zell am See	1:9 ✺
28.09.23	Fassa - KAC II	6:2 ✺
26.09.23	KAC II - Vipiteno	1:3 ✺
22.09.23	KAC II - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:2 ✺
16.09.23	Unterland Cavaliers - KAC II	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
30.09.23	Gherdëina - Vipiteno	4:3 OT ✺
27.09.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	3:2 OT ✺
23.09.23	Gherdëina - Zell am See	1:9 ✺
21.09.23	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	4:8 ✺
16.09.23	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
08.12.22	Gherdëina - KAC II	6:2
08.10.22	KAC II - Gherdëina	2:5
22.01.22	Gherdëina - KAC II	7:2
23.11.21	KAC II - Gherdëina	1:2
20.02.21	Gherdëina - KAC II	3:2 penalties
18.02.21	KAC II - Gherdëina	3:5
04.03.20	Gherdëina - KAC II	8:6

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