Match Info

MHL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday


	Kapitan Stupino		MHC Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	7.3	5.8	1.34
	7.93	6.61	1.27	Watch
	5.75	5.25	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.99 ↑ (5.28)	5.89 ↑ (4.69)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapitan Stupino
13.3%

Draw
15.8%

MHC Dynamo Moscow
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

19.3%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

19.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

MHC Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MHC Dynamo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHC Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MHC Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kapitan Stupino - MHC Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)	74. Podsukha I. (G)
95. Dautov M. (A)	78. Chuklinov S.
5. Sapozhnikov A. (C)	16. Ryabykin Y.
89. Rummo Y.	79. Melikov M.
78. Sulima V. (A)	36. Ivantsov Y.
39. Kuzmin F.	5. Ilyin M.
Line 2
49. Pogorelov S.	55. Limatov K. (A)
4. Kruglikov D.	35. Sabitov M.
62. Soshnikov A.	95. Savinov S. (A)
27. Lobanov I.	29. Parshin M.
7. Babenko M.	28. Kiselyov B.
Line 3
3. Safin E.	66. Rumyantsev P. (C)
82. Drozdov V.	37. Petrukhin G.
48. Maklakov A.	81. Builov Y.
47. Rakov P.	73. Sobolev R.
	27. Yesipov N.
Line 4
81. Tarasov A.	85. Fomin A.
71. Zaitsev M.	72. Kryukov M.
64. Zotov I.	69. Anfinagentov M.
36. Kutishchev K.	17. Sklyarenko A.
Substitutes
52. Beryoza A. (G)	30. Klokov I. (G)
32. Fysyna R.	20. Lemeshev T. (G)
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)
20. Vergeichik V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
04:07, 1 - 0, Rummo Y. (G), Kuzmin F. (A),
10:57, 1 - 1, Melikov M. (G), Ilyin M. (A),
13:19, 2 - 1, Drozdov V. (G), Rakov P. (A), Fysyna R. (A2)
14:02, 3 - 1, Babenko M. (G),
15:14, 3 - 2, Ilyin M. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:51, 3 - 3, Sobolev R. (G), Ryabykin Y. (A),
17:36, 3 - 4, Ivantsov Y. (G), Ryabykin Y. (A), Melikov M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 2.

Kapitan Stupino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

MHC Dynamo M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

MHC Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kapitan Stupino has had a series of home games.

In this match, MHC Dynamo M is the clear favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 47:67. (average 2.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 2.2:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Kapitan Stupino - the odds 5.28 are the expected chance of winning is 17.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
30.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Sakhalinskie Akuly	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:4 ✺
26.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Tayfun	1:3 ✺
25.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Tayfun	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Amurskie Tigry	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW
- MHC Dynamo Moscow
MHL
01.12.25	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Almaz	5:1 ✺
28.11.25	Mikhaylov Academy - MHC Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Mikhaylov Academy	2:1 OT ✺
19.11.25	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Atlant	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Red Machine Junior - MHC Dynamo Moscow	3:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
02.11.25	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	5:0
16.12.24	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	4:2
05.10.24	Kapitan Stupino - MHC Dynamo Moscow	0:3
22.02.19	Kapitan Stupino - MHC Dynamo Moscow	5:3
21.02.19	Kapitan Stupino - MHC Dynamo Moscow	3:0
03.10.18	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	1:2
02.10.18	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Kapitan Stupino	3:4

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