Match Info
MestisDate: 12 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Keuruun jäähalli (Keuruu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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KeuPa |
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Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.85 |
4.25 |
1.91 |
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 |
2.80 |
4.20 |
2.02 |
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 |
2.81 |
4.33 |
1.93 |
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3.24 |
4.65 |
1.83 |
 Watch |
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2.75 |
4.25 |
1.90 |
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3.11 |
4.20 |
1.89 |
Watch |
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3.00 |
4.20 |
1.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(1.75) |
4.3 ↓
(4.57) |
1.91 ↓
(3.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
KeuPa
31.1% | Draw
21.2% | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KeuPa's form might have worsened.Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+24.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KeuPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (-22.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.KeuPa - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. JoKP (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - JoKP (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JoKP (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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35.  Hannikainen O. (G)
| 32. Rossi J. (G)
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89. Laukkanen R.
| 77. Tiihonen L.
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7. Vaharautio K. (A)
| 6. Korkka O.
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61. Aaltonen S.
| 5. Sihvonen R.
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83. Ketonen N.
| 97. Janhonen J.
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74. Matikainen K. (A)
| 17. Karjalainen H. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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45. Heikkila E.
| 3. Liiri N.
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42. Wolin A. (C)
| 55. Koskela V.
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93. Jarvenpaa M.
| 11. Taskula J.
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72. Mutka J.
| 20. Kokkola T. (A)
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9. Hokkanen R.
| 29. Lohisalo J.
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| Line 3 |
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3.  Kurbaka V.
| 24. Juvonen J.
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2. Kesajarvi A.
| 26. Lehikoinen A.
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16. Winqvist K.
| 82. Hult O.
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20. Eloranta E.
| 51. Koskenkorva J. (C)
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8. Krook A.
| 39. Niemi E.
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| Line 4 |
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| 56. Haikonen A.
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| 80. Vallius S.
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| 28. Suvanto N.
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| 19. Brygger J.
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| Substitutes |
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24. Manni E.
| 23. Kohonen P. (G)
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41. Pasanen J. (G)
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56. Rantanen N.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 1)
- 04:15, 1 - 0, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Vaharautio K. (A), Manni E. (A2)
- 10:54, 1 - 1, Karjalainen H. (G), Sihvonen R. (A), Liiri N. (A2)
- 18:04, 2 - 1, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Mutka J. (A), Krook A. (A2)
- 19:05, 3 - 1, Hokkanen R. (G), Ketonen N. (A), Laukkanen R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 12:22, 4 - 1, Rantanen N. (G),
- 15:45, 5 - 1, Wolin A. (G), Laukkanen R. (A), Matikainen K. (A2)
- 16:52, 6 - 1, Ketonen N. (G), Laukkanen R. (A), Kurbaka V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 05:26, 6 - 2, Taskula J. (G), Kokkola T. (A), Lohisalo J. (A2)
- 06:23, 7 - 2, Kurbaka V. (G), Kesajarvi A. (A),
- 15:23, 7 - 3, Suvanto N. (G), Koskela V. (A), Brygger J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 1.KeuPa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).JoKP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:63. (average 3.1:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 3.3:2.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | Kiekko-Pojat | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24:34 | 9 |
| 8 | KeuPa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22:37 | 8 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.55%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 22.01.26 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa | 4:1 | | 10.01.26 | KeuPa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 5:1 | | 09.12.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa | 5:3 | | 01.11.25 | KeuPa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 3:5 | | 15.10.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa | 4:3 penalties | | 13.09.25 | KeuPa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 3:4 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 13.08.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa | 5:4 penalties |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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