Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	KeuPa		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	5	5.25	1.44
	4.4	5	1.53
	5.9	5.9	1.36	Watch
	5.25	6.28	1.46
	5.25	6.28	1.42
	5	5	1.4
	4.95	5.1	1.46	Watch
	5	5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (4.67)	5.48 ↑ (5.24)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KeuPa
18.3%

Draw
17%

Kiekko-Espoo
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

17.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

16.3%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KeuPa - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KeuPa won 1.

Recent matches KeuPa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kiekko-Espoo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KeuPa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kiekko-Espoo have a series of guest games.

In this match Kiekko-Espoo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's KeuPa to win the game is with odds 4.67.

Last 9 head-to-head matches KeuPa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-38.

Including matches at home between the teams KeuPa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KeuPa HT
Finnish Mestis
01.12.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola	4:3 penalties ✺
24.11.23	Jokerit - KeuPa	5:2 ✺
22.11.23	Koovee - KeuPa	2:3 OT ✺
18.11.23	KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWL
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish Mestis
01.12.23	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Espoo	3:6 ✺
25.11.23	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 ✺
17.11.23	Jokerit - Kiekko-Espoo	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Kiekko-Espoo	4:2 ✺
03.11.23	Imatran Ketterä - Kiekko-Espoo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
28.10.23	KeuPa - Kiekko-Espoo	5:3
18.03.23	KeuPa - Kiekko-Espoo	1:8
10.01.23	Kiekko-Espoo - KeuPa	5:2
04.01.23	Kiekko-Espoo - KeuPa	3:2 OT
10.12.22	KeuPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3
06.03.22	Kiekko-Espoo - KeuPa	6:3
28.01.22	Kiekko-Espoo - KeuPa	5:0

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