Match Info
MestisDate: 24 February 2026, TuesdayLocation: Keuruun jäähalli (Keuruu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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KeuPa |
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Hermes Kokkola |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
4.25 |
1.87 |
 Watch |
 |
3.19 |
4.33 |
1.91 |
Watch |
 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
1.75 |
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 |
3.44 |
4.25 |
1.78 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.69) |
4.26 ↓
(4.27) |
1.83 ↓
(2.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
KeuPa
28.1% | Draw
21.6% | Hermes Kokkola
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KeuPa's form might have worsened.Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hermes Kokkola's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KeuPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hermes Kokkola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hermes (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
35.  Lavikainen L. (G)
| 31. Makela A. (G)
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26. Tuupanen T. (C)
| 56. Nissinen T.
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42. Wolin A. (A)
| 34. Lauri O.
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93. Jarvenpaa M.
| 71. Airo J. (A)
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28. Lehtonen W.
| 50. Rautiainen J.
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7.  Dobos M. B.
| 10. Takala E. (C)
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| Line 2 |
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22. Nyman L.
| 16. Cederberg E.
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2. Kesajarvi A.
| 25. Gronblom T.
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18. Utriainen O.
| 84. Savolainen V.
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20. Jaatinen O. (A)
| 51. Vahatalo J. (A)
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89. Linjala M.
| 20. Virolainen J.
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| Line 3 |
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10. Heikkila M.
| 33. Monkkonen M.
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45. Heikkila E.
| 19. Heinonen O.
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9. Hokkanen R.
| 22.  Dommers V.
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17. Tohila R.
| 18. Niinisto J.
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80. Harjula J.
| 17. Puikkonen T.
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| Line 4 |
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12. Krook A.
| 61. Hahl V.
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27. Tarvainen K.
| 15. Ohtonen J.
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24. Manni E.
| 53. Ulvila A.
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| Substitutes |
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41. Pasanen J. (G)
| 28. Honkasalo J.
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| 35. Risikko H. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:43, 1 - 0, Tarvainen K. (G), Tohila R. (A),
- 17:01, 1 - 1, Ohtonen J. (G), Lauri O. (A), Hahl V. (A2)
- 19:02, 1 - 2, Lauri O. (G), Monkkonen M. (A), Virolainen J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:34, 1 - 3, Cederberg E. (G), Ohtonen J. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:14, 1 - 4, Heinonen O. (G), Vahatalo J. (A), Savolainen V. (A2)
Preview
KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 2.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.KeuPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Hermes has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:79. (average 2.8:4).Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 2.8:4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Hermes | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22:25 | 10 |
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| 8 | KeuPa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22:37 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 12.02.26 | KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola | 5:2 | | 17.01.26 | Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa | 4:1 | | 06.01.26 | Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa | 3:2 | | 10.10.25 | KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola | 4:7 | | 01.10.25 | Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa | 4:7 | | 18.01.25 | Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa | 0:2 | | 29.12.24 | KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola | 1:2 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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