The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KeuPa 34.7%
Draw 21.9%
Hermes Kokkola 43.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.3%
21.2%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
21.7%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+3%)
KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Pasanen J. (G)
79. Saarinen K. (G)
7. Vaharautio K. (A)
43. Heinonen O.
25. Paganus T.
55. Vuorinen R.
20. Eloranta E.
48. Hult O.
83. Ketonen N.
51. Vahatalo J. (A)
74. Matikainen K. (A)
45. Ekman T.
Line 2
18. Vuontisvaara O.
77. Ahola A. (A)
42. Wolin A. (C)
5. Tikkanen T.
16. Winqvist K.
86. Maki E.
72. Mutka J.
73. Niinisto J.
93. Jarvenpaa M.
17. Puikkonen T.
Line 3
26. Vaisanen V.
33. Monkkonen M.
2. Kesajarvi A.
4. Lehtinen E.
56. Rantanen N.
21. Pulli T.
78. Keihas R.
50. Rautiainen J. (C)
9. Hokkanen R.
10. Takala E.
Line 4
8. Krook A.
24. Pennanen A.
24. Manni E.
53. Ulvila A.
10. Sundgren M.
6. Lauri O.
Substitutes
35. Varis K. (G)
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
16. Cederberg E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
07:19, 0 - 1, Maki E. (G), Puikkonen T. (A), Niinisto J. (A2)
08:07, 1 - 1, Rantanen N. (G), Vaisanen V. (A),
13:56, 1 - 2, Rautiainen J. (G), Takala E. (A), Niinisto J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:14, 2 - 2, Winqvist K. (G), Vuontisvaara O. (A), Mutka J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:14, 2 - 3, Vuorinen R. (G), Maki E. (A), Monkkonen M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 1.
KeuPa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hermes has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
KeuPa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, KeuPa has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hermes holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for KeuPa in today's match, at odds of 2.72.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KeuPa has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:77 (averaging 2.7:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KeuPa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 22:29 goals (averaging 2.8:3.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
KeuPa
15
4
2
2
7
42:52
18
8
Hermes
14
4
1
4
5
36:47
18
Last Results with these Odds
KeuPa - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.