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Current Win Probability
Khimik 52.4%
Draw 23.9%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
24.4%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
26.2%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik's performance.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Novokuznetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Novokuznetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Khimik - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Volokhin Y. (G)
94. Bogdanov N. (G)
3. Ivanov D.
77. Vinogradov A.
4. Sokolov N. (C)
75. Starikov L.
98. Belyayev A.
24. Khrapov F.
8. Krovyakov M. (A)
43. Verba M. (A)
99. Filin Y.
33. Shablovsky Z.
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)
47. Churkin V.
13. Gavrilov I.
8. Naumov V.
28. Pashin A.
17. Sokolov D.
97. Kholodilin N.
89. Guslistov N.
12. Buruyanov N.
10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
33. Sobolev D.
9. Belov D.
43. Krasnichuk A.
46. Berezin M.
36. Lukin K.
21. Kodola V.
65. Mansurov D.
40. Apalkov D. (C)
7. Kukstel P.
59. Perevalov A.
Line 4
54. Tarasenko S.
71. Grzheletsky M.
32. Maryshev A.
12. Kryukov T.
2. Varyushkin Y.
18. Serdyuk Y.
27. Korotkikh I.
50. Kurbatov V.
6. Ryabov I.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)
Substitutes
1. Kanayev P. (G)
42. Kondyukov V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
12:34, 1 - 0, Lukin K. (G), Mansurov D. (A), Kukstel P. (A2)
13:09, 2 - 0, Belyayev A. (G), Filin Y. (A),
19:49, 2 - 1, Verba M. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:53, 3 - 1, Rukavishnikov R. (G),
03:31, 3 - 2, Sheshin D. (G),
19:47, 4 - 2, (G),
Preview
MHC Khimik (VHL) leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Khimik could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Khimik will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 65:48. (average 3.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Khimik won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 3.8:2.3).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Khimik
13
6
2
2
3
45:26
18
10
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
12
6
0
3
3
22:14
15
Last Results with these Odds
Khimik - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Volokhin Y. (G) 
Gavrilov I. 
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