The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 42.8%
Draw 25%
Khimik 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
24.2%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
27.8%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Khimik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Khimik Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
31. Volokhin Y. (G)
77. Vinogradov A.
3. Ivanov D.
75. Starikov L.
4. Sokolov N. (C)
24. Khrapov F.
98. Belyayev A.
43. Verba M. (A)
8. Krovyakov M. (A)
33. Shablovsky Z.
99. Filin Y.
Line 2
47. Churkin V.
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)
8. Naumov V.
13. Gavrilov I.
17. Sokolov D.
28. Pashin A.
89. Guslistov N.
65. Mansurov D.
10. Sheshin D.
12. Buruyanov N.
Line 3
9. Belov D.
33. Sobolev D.
46. Berezin M.
43. Krasnichuk A.
21. Kodola V.
7. Kukstel P.
40. Apalkov D. (C)
27. Korotkikh I.
59. Perevalov A.
92. Yarovoi S.
Line 4
12. Kryukov T.
32. Maryshev A.
18. Serdyuk Y.
2. Varyushkin Y.
50. Kurbatov V.
6. Ryabov I.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)
76. Lukyantsev S.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)
1. Kanayev P. (G)
71. Grzheletsky M.
54. Tarasenko S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
09:49, 1 - 0, Sheshin D. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A), Gorshkov A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:03, 2 - 0, Serdyuk Y. (G), Shablovsky Z. (A), Verba M. (A2)
11:37, 2 - 1, Filin Y. (G),
12:53, 2 - 2, Ryabov I. (G), Sokolov N. (A), Korotkikh I. (A2)
13:49, 3 - 2, Shablovsky Z. (G), Khrapov F. (A), Berezin M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
18:29, 4 - 2, Khrapov F. (G), Verba M. (A),
19:05, 4 - 3, Ryabov I. (G), Korotkikh I. (A), Filin Y. (A2)
Preview
MHC Khimik (VHL) leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 2.
Recent performances by Metallurg N have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Khimik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Khimik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Metallurg N will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 48:65. (average 2.4:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 2.5:2.8).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Khimik
14
6
2
2
4
46:28
18
10
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
12
6
0
3
3
22:14
15
Last Results with these Odds
Khimik - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.