The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk 20.2%
Draw 19.8%
Gomel 60%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
22.2%
51.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
23.4%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk's form might have worsened.
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gomel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Khimik SKA Novopolotsk - Gomel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Anarkulov G. (G)
98. Lubsky M. (G)
46. Isayev A.
4. Gostev A.
93. Khrapovitsky A.
43. Anokhin N.
8. Aksyonov V.
9. Sapelnikov Y.
96. Zemlyankin A.
13. Sobhy N.
15. Zhidkikh A.
95. Kunishnikov M.
Line 2
65. Gusarov K.
59. Ivanchikov D.
9. Kotelovsky A.
72. Kudin Y.
51. Lazarenko A.
71. Titov N.
45. Guskov I.
10. Sekerin I.
10. Fazleyev R.
7. Kravchenko V.
Line 3
44. Sadovik A.
22. Arkhiptsev A.
31. Maretsky D.
89. Lipsky D.
27. Kormilov D.
46. Kachelovsky O.
13. Koksharov A.
28. Gaidamak V.
21. Zasko I.
19. Voitovich M.
Line 4
55. Burovtsev D.
3. Shatilo I.
98. Chukanov M.
17. Kolyshkin D.
57. Levsha Y.
88. Ponomartsev I.
53. Novik M.
80. Gavrilovich P.
37. Murzov V.
Substitutes
70. Vashkevich V. (G)
12. Degterov D.
31. Karchevsky A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
18:51, 1 - 0, Kormilov D. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:00, 2 - 0, Aksyonov V. (G), Khrapovitsky A. (A), Zemlyankin A. (A2)
09:19, 3 - 0, Koksharov A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:47, 3 - 1, Kunishnikov M. (G), Ivanchikov D. (A), Kudin Y. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik-SKA won 1.
Khimik-SKA is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Gomel have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
Gomel carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Khimik-SKA has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:64 (averaging 1.7:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Khimik-SKA against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 20:32 goals (averaging 1.8:2.9 per game).
Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now
Gomel: 9.9% Novopolotsk: 0.8%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Gomel
11
6
1
2
2
37:25
16
14
Novopolotsk
11
1
0
1
9
16:48
3
Last Results with these Odds
Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
Gomel - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.