Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Kiekko-Espoo U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.5	3
	1.81	3.95	3.34
	1.8	4.13	3.45	Watch
	1.8	4	3.2
	1.79	3.95	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	4.11 ↓ (4.13)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo U20
50.7%

Draw
22%

TPS U20
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo U20 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Kiekko Espoo U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:30, 1 - 0, Heinanen A. (G), Katavisto A. (A), Saavola T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:24, 1 - 1, Wahlroos O. (G), Vilhunen P. (A), Paganus T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:03, 1 - 2, Virtanen J. (G), Parssinen J. (A), Niittymaki A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 2.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TPS U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TPS U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:50. (average 2.4:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 3.1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Kiekko-Espoo U20	11	7	0	0	4	45:29	21
11	TPS U20	11	3	0	4	4	30:41	13

Last Results with these Odds

Kiekko-Espoo U20 - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ilves U20	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	JYP U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	KalPa U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:2 ✺
30.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	6:1 ✺
24.01.26	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.02.26	TPS U20 - JYP U20	4:5 penalties ✺
14.02.26	TPS U20 - HIFK U20	3:1 ✺
12.02.26	Ilves U20 - TPS U20	6:3 ✺
31.01.26	KooKoo U20 - TPS U20	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 OT
17.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - TPS U20	1:3
20.09.25	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3
22.02.25	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	3:2
07.09.24	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - TPS U20	4:3 penalties
16.12.23	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - TPS U20	5:2
09.09.23	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	3:1

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