Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	SaiPa U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.5	1.42
	4.4	4.25	1.45
	4.89	4.68	1.49	Watch
	4.75	4.5	1.44
	5.03	4.9	1.44
	4	4.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (4.66)	4.54 ↑ (4.45)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
19.5%

Draw
19.6%

TPS U20
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

20.6%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

23.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SaiPa U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:26, 1 - 0, Rinkinen T. (G), Sarkka E. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:12, 2 - 0, Surakka T. (G), Moilanen V. (A),
17:05, 3 - 0, Svensk V. (G), Moilanen V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 1.

SaiPa U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TPS U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

TPS U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, TPS U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 43:71. (average 2.5:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 2.1:4.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	TPS U20	11	3	0	4	4	30:41	13
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa U20 - the odds 4.66 are the expected chance of winning is 19.71%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	SaiPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	4:8 ✺
23.01.26	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	8:2 ✺
17.01.26	SaiPa U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 penalties ✺
10.01.26	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 OT ✺
17.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - TPS U20	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	TPS U20 - KalPa U20	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Lukko U20 - TPS U20	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.10.25	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2
29.11.24	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	6:1
29.09.24	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	1:2
15.12.23	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2
25.11.23	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	6:5 OT
25.09.22	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	1:5
15.10.21	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	1:8

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