The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niagara IceDogs 21.7%
Draw 18.6%
Kitchener Rangers 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.1%
19.8%
57.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
21.6%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitchener Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
65. Kirsch C. (G)
72. Barnes B.
5. Andonovski M. (A)
7. Cheynowski C.
9. Anstis A.
33. Chromiak J.
11. Arquette C.
12. Czata E. (C)
89. Bilecki A.
27. Dell'Elce S.
17. Cameron W.
44. Doherty S.
8. Campbell C. (A)
17. Edgar R.
20. Chiarot G.
92. Galiyanov I.
16. Edwards D.
9. Hage A.
13. Ellis H.
64. Hull C.
48. Humphreys C.
19. Monks J.
93. LaBrash J.
21. Patterson R. (A)
37. Lam T.
93. Read N.
43. MacNiel A.
16. Reid H.
23. O'Reilly S. (A)
61. Simon Wang
24. Pridham J.
43. Smith R.
18. Reid C. (C)
49. Spencer L.
27. Vermeulen A.
8. Tiller G. (A)
51. Woolley J.
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
01:10, 1 - 0, Edgar R. (G), Simon Wang (A), Barnes B. (A2)
02:52, 1 - 1, Pridham J. (G), Edwards D. (A),
13:03, 1 - 2, Pridham J. (G), Humphreys C. (A), Reid C. (A2)
19:15, 2 - 2, Czata E. (G), Patterson R. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:30, 2 - 3, Edwards D. (G), Reid C. (A), Humphreys C. (A2)
11:12, 3 - 3, Patterson R. (G), Dell'Elce S. (A), Monks J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:10, 4 - 3, Reid H. (G), Chromiak J. (A), Patterson R. (A2)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
Kitchener is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 1.
In recent matches, Niagara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kitchener is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kitchener may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kitchener is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 78:92. (average 3.9:4.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:48. (average 4.7:5.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Niagara IceDogs - the odds 3.99 are the expected chance of winning is 23.06%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Kitchener Rangers - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.15%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Yermolenko V. (G) 
Kirsch C. (G) 
Barnes B. 
Andonovski M. (A) 
Chromiak J. 
Simon Wang 
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